|

Bitcoin Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis – Daily chart

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Zigzag.

  • Position: Wave C.

  • Direction (next higher degrees): Wave V of Impulse.

  • Invalidation Level:

BTC

BTC/USD trading strategy

Bitcoin recently reached a record high of $120,000. According to the Elliott Wave count, the price is now in a wave 2 correction. This corrective move is anticipated to test the Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.5 and 0.618 before resuming its upward trend in wave 3.

Trading strategies

  • Strategy

  • For Short-Term Traders (Swing Trade):

    • Monitor the 91,000 – 87,000 range for price testing and a potential reversal signal.

  • Risk Management

    • If the price moves below $87,000 without showing a reversal pattern, a reassessment of the wave structure is recommended.

BTCUSD Elliott Wave technical analysis – Four-hour chart

  • Function: Counter Trend

  • Mode: Corrective

  • Structure: Zigzag

  • Position: Wave C

  • Direction (Next Higher Degrees): Wave V of Impulse

  • Invalidation Level:

BTC/USD trading strategy

Following its peak at $120,000, Bitcoin appears to be in a corrective wave 2 phase. The current analysis projects a move into the Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618 range, where the price could potentially initiate wave 3 upwards.

Trading strategies

  • Strategy

  • For short-term traders (swing trade):

    • Look for the price to retest the 91,000 – 87,000 area and wait for a reversal signal to confirm entry.

  • Risk management

    • Should the price fall below $87,000 with no reversal, the analysis should be revisited.

Bitcoin Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend sell-off amid negative funding rates 

Bitcoin is down 15% in February and looks poised to extend its losses toward the yearly low of $60,000. Ethereum and Ripple are following in Bitcoin's footsteps, weighed down by a weak derivatives market. 

Hyperliquid tests key support as sell-side pressure intensifies

Hyerliquid (HYPE) drops to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $28.85 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending a decline of roughly 10% so far this week. 

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM risks revisiting $0.136 as sell-off continues

Stellar is trading below $0.160 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending its correction for the fifth consecutive day. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets and declining Open Interest in the derivatives market. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.