Today's Highlights

  • Sterling boosted by retail sales data

  • Federal Reserve meets to decide on interest rates and Quantitative Easing (QE) plans

  • New Zealand economic growth data for Quarter Two out overnight tonight

 

Current Market Overview

Tuesday came and went with little impact on the forex markets. The markets appear to have run out of shock and awe when it comes to the US versus North Korea rhetoric. Donald Trump's talk of annihilating North Korea if they threaten America or its allies is all very playground, but a bit hollow when they are shooting ballistic missiles over Japan with impunity. However, Trump did say one thing that was quite profound...strange, I know. He said, "The problem in Venezuela is not that socialism has been poorly implemented, but that socialism has been faithfully implemented." Good script writer you've got there, Mr Trump.

Today will be much more interesting for Sterling traders in particular with the release of UK retail sales data. The markets have undoubtedly factored in the impact of wages growth still lagging inflation, anticipating a slight slowdown but some growth. The actual results were better than forecast, showing 1% growth over the past month, and boosting the Pound. That data will be something else for the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee to discuss when they meet today.

The markets are quiet until later, when the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets. Few are expecting any change from the FOMC in this month's meeting, but they may start to indicate when they will consider reducing their $4.5 trillion QE budget and/or raising interest rates again. The US economy has been shaped by the Federal Reserve's massive cash injection over the past 10 years. Cutting that budget down will have repercussions for the equities markets, bond markets, the USD and other asset classes. Investments across the globe have been funded by cheap cash, so the record highs in the Dow Jones Index and others are no coincidence. The Federal Reserve needs to be very careful about how it handles this contraction if it wishes to avoid serious market jitters. They know that, which is why they are approaching the matter with real caution.

Overnight tonight we will get the New Zealand economic growth data for Quarter Two of the year. An annualised Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figure of 2.5% is expected and that would be lower than Q1. The Kiwi Dollar, which has weakened of late, will be very volatile around this release and could weaken significantly if the data is poorer than 2.5%. Tonight could be a great night for automated orders whether you need to buy or sell New Zealand Dollars.

And if you want to feel very, veerry, veeeeerrrrry small, Google the images of Earth taken by the Cassini probe from within Saturn's rings, roughly a billion miles away. The single pixel you see as earth houses all of us. Makes you stop and think.

 

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures