GBP/JPY Forecast Poll
The GBP/JPY pair tells the trader how many Japanese Yen (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one British Dollar (the base currency). It is known to be a “carry currency cross”, that is a cross which is a vehicle for carry trading, a strategy that consists in buying a high yielding currency and funding it with a low yielding currency, similar to the adage "buy low, sell high."
FORECAST FOR 2017
FXStreet’s contributors, surveyed at the end of December 2016, globally expect a bullish evolution for the pair, though their forecasts were broadly spread out. The Median Forecast is at 150,0000 for the end of 2017. The lack of consensus on this forecast might be due to the uncertainty that the Brexit negotiations and its issue have been arousing in the markets. See full forecast
Yen selling pressure continues whilst Brexit GBP fears soften slightly as the hard/soft debate abates
Found a bottom and should rise further
ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE GBP/JPY
The organizations and people that affect the most the moves of the GBP/JPY pair are:
- Bank of England, known to be one of the most effective central banks in the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy (including interest rates).
- Bank of Japan that issues statements and decides on the interest rates of the country. Its Governor is currently Haruhiko Kuroda. The BoJ has been applying very low interest rates for many years and even introduced a negative interest rate in January 2016, in an attempt lift consumer prices, which have been sliding for most of the past 20 years.
- UK Government and its Prime Minister, Theresa May who took office in July 2016, after British citizens voted for the withdrawal of the UK from the European Union (Brexit).
- Japanese Government and its Prime Minister Shinzō Abe, responsible of the so-called “Abenomics” economic policies which are based upon "three arrows" of fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and structural reforms.