WTI testing bull commitments at $40, suffers at the hands of demand concerns


  • WTI fell below $40 mid-week as investors worry over demand and spread of COVID-19.
  • OPEC tapering is also a concern for bullish bets. 

West Texas Intermediate crude is currently trading at $39.97 and down by 2.8% having travelled from a high of $41.57 to a low of $39.81.

Despite a second weekly decline in US crude supplies reported by the Energy Information Administration, the price of oil has been pressured as investors move away from risk assets, including oil.

The rising cases of COVID-19 in Europe, in particular, has impacted investor sentiment mid-week.

 

Europe's COVID-19 plight and prospects for the EUR/USD

All eyes on OPEC

The potential for more economic shutdowns will impede demand for energy, something for which will be in focus next month when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, together known as OPEC+, meet to discuss output controls. 

OPEC compliance with production cuts is has helped to protect the downside for oil prices to date but the prospects of the group tapering could be part of why the bid has been pulled. 

''While OPEC+ stopped short of a firm decision on output cuts, the group sent a strong signal of support, warning those that gamble on the group's determination and implying that the November meeting will likely feature a decision on tapering from the group,'' analysts at TD Securities explained.

The analysts are bullish on the longer run of the outlook and have stated, 'with the OPEC+ put nearly at-the-money, we see a potential set-up building for an upside surprise.''

''Normalizing demand expectations, large-scale fiscal stimulus and a potential vaccine announcement shortly following the election, along with an OPEC+ revision to the planned tapering of their historic output deal, should all conspire to offer strong support in energy markets.''

WTI levels

 

Overview
Today last price 40.08
Today Daily Change -1.18
Today Daily Change % -2.86
Today daily open 41.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 40.19
Daily SMA50 40.77
Daily SMA100 40.4
Daily SMA200 38.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 41.93
Previous Daily Low 40.51
Previous Weekly High 41.56
Previous Weekly Low 39.31
Previous Monthly High 43.56
Previous Monthly Low 36.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 41.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 41.05
Daily Pivot Point S1 40.54
Daily Pivot Point S2 39.81
Daily Pivot Point S3 39.12
Daily Pivot Point R1 41.96
Daily Pivot Point R2 42.65
Daily Pivot Point R3 43.38

 

 

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