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WTI technical analysis: Oil flirts with 50% Fib retracement level

  • WTI is chipping away at a key Fib level. 
  • The daily chart shows a death cross. 
  • Bulls need to defend the recent low of $56.07. 

WTI oil prices are currently flirting with $58.61 – the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the sell-off from $66.58 to $50.63 – having printed a high of $58.91

The black gold charted a death cross, i.e. a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages (MA) on July 4. 

So far, however, the follow-through to the bearish MA crossover has been positive. Oil has risen from $56.32 to $58.91 in the last three trading days. 

The death cross would gain credence if the price drops below the higher low of $56.07 created on July 3. In that case, the June low of $50.63 could come into play. 

On the higher side, a move above $60.26 (July 1 high) is needed to revive the bullish outlook.

As for next few hours, the US oil prices could fall back to $58.30-$58.20, as the hourly chart is reporting a bearish doji reversal with the relative strength index holding above 70 (overbought reading). Key resistance is seen at $58.74, above which the high of $58.91 hit six hours will likely come into play. 

Daily chart

Hourly chart

Trend: Neutral

Pivot point

    1. R3 60.36
    2. R2 59.56
    3. R1 58.99
  1. PP 58.19
    1. S1 57.62
    2. S2 56.82
    3. S3 56.25

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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