|

WTI struggling to recapture $90 heading into the end of the week

  • WTI is strung up near $89.00/bbl after slipping off of recent highs.
  • US crude barrels briefly saw $92.00 in the midweek on continuing supply concerns.
  • Price pressures have eased heading into the weekend, but prices are set to continue rising.

West Texas Intermediary (WT) US crude oil is struggling to hold onto the $90.00 price level as Friday trading leaves crude oil barrels trading mostly flat for the day, briefly piercing the major handle before falling back to near where the day's trading began.

Crude oil prices are seeing strong support looking forward, with global supply set to leave oil demand chronically undersupplied for the near future. 

WTI US crude oil prices are up over 11% on the year, and have gained nearly 40% from the year's low at $64.31.

Market analysts broadly expect crude barrels to reach $100 in the future as global reserves of crude barrels dwindle away in what some experts calculate to be a 2 million bpd deficit in global production.

Ongoing production cuts to buoy crude prices towards the upside

Saudi Arabia and Russia have extended production cuts worth a combined 1.3 million bpd through the end of the year, bolstering prices across the globe and sending production facilities into a buying frenzy to eat up the expanded margins on oil accumulation, further constraining available supply.

WTI technical outlook

US crude oil has closed in the green for ten of the last twelve months. Daily candles see crude prices well above technical support, with the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $77.00, well below current price action.

A rising trendline from late June's lows near $67.00 remains in place, and bullish momentum is currently running far away from the technical pattern.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) indicators are both firmly planted in overbought territory, and it will take a significant profit-taking reversal to recover the indicator patterns.

WTI daily chart

WTI technical levels

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price89.6
Today Daily Change0.26
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open89.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA2086.34
Daily SMA5082.31
Daily SMA10076.89
Daily SMA20076.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High90.71
Previous Daily Low88.15
Previous Weekly High90.56
Previous Weekly Low86.23
Previous Monthly High84.32
Previous Monthly Low77.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%89.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%89.13
Daily Pivot Point S188.09
Daily Pivot Point S286.84
Daily Pivot Point S385.53
Daily Pivot Point R190.65
Daily Pivot Point R291.96
Daily Pivot Point R393.21

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the offered stance just above 1.1700

EUR/USD is coming under heavy selling pressure in what has been a rather grim start to the new trading week, with the pair now trading close to the 1.1700 support area as the US Dollar stages a solid rebound. The prevailing flight to safety mood continues to favour the Greenback, as investors react to the escalating conflict in the Middle East and trim risk exposure across the board.

GBP/USD hits new yearly lows near 1.3300

GBP/USD adds to the recent bearish tone, approaching to the key 1.3300 support to reach fresh YTD troughs against the backdrop of the robust performance of the US Dollar. Indeed, Cable’s decline comes amid the firm demand for the safe-haven space in the wake of the US and Israel attacks to Iran.

Gold trims losses, back below $5,400

Gold now surrenders part of the earlier advance past the $5,400 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Indeed, the precious metal’s strong uptick remains fuelled by increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East amid the intense demand for safer assets.

Bitcoin on brink of breakdown amid US-Iran war

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure near the key support level of $65,700. Trading at $66,400 at the time of writing on Monday, a breakdown below this critical level would suggest a deeper correction ahead.

The Fed is finally talking about AI – Here's why it matters for the US Dollar

AI is moving from earnings calls into the heart of monetary policy discussions, forcing Federal Reserve officials to confront a new question: How to act if AI reshapes inflation, employment and interest rates at the same time?

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.