|

WTI sticks to gains near $81.00 mark, remains below two-month high set on Tuesday

  • WTI regains positive traction on Wednesday amid concerns about supply disruption.
  • Demand uncertainty might cap any meaningful upside amid a modest USD strength.
  • The official US inventory data to provide some impetus ahead of the US PCE on Friday.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US crude Oil prices attract fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday and reverse a part of the previous day's retracement slide from the $81.65 area, or a nearly two-month top. The commodity currently trades around the $81.00/barrel mark, up over 0.50% for the day amid persistent geopolitical tensions stemming from Israeli strikes on Gaza and Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries.

Meanwhile, Russia’s Foreign Ministry summoned US Ambassador Lynne Tracy earlier this week and blamed the US for a barbaric attack in Crimea and said that retaliatory measures would “definitely follow”. Furthermore, the risk of an all-out war between Israel and Lebanon remains alive in the wake of soaring tensions on provocations by Hezbollah, fueling concerns about supply disruptions from the key Oil producing countries. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the black liquid, though worries about weaker demand in the top Oil consuming nation might keep a lid on any further gains.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday that US Oil inventories unexpectedly rose by 914K barrels in the week to June 21. Moreover, a jump in US gasoline stocks last week suggested a weak start to the summer driving season. Meanwhile, a fall in the US Consumer Confidence in June added to worries about the economic outlook. This, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) strength, bolstered by the recent hawkish remarks by influential FOMC members and uncertainty about the likely timing of when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting rates, might contribute to capping Oil prices.

Market participants now look forward to the official US government data on oil and fuel stockpiles, which is due for release later this Wednesday at 14:30 GMT. The focus, however, will remain squarely on the final US Q1 GDP print on Thursday and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Friday. The latter will influence the Fed's future policy decision, which, in turn, will drive the USD demand in the near term and provide some meaningful impetus to Crude Oil prices.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price80.96
Today Daily Change0.42
Today Daily Change %0.52
Today daily open80.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA2077.98
Daily SMA5079.07
Daily SMA10079.64
Daily SMA20078.9
 
Levels
Previous Daily High81.65
Previous Daily Low80.35
Previous Weekly High81.62
Previous Weekly Low77.56
Previous Monthly High81.25
Previous Monthly Low76.04
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%80.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.15
Daily Pivot Point S180.04
Daily Pivot Point S279.54
Daily Pivot Point S378.74
Daily Pivot Point R181.35
Daily Pivot Point R282.15
Daily Pivot Point R382.66

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.