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WTI faces rejection at key hurdle as major traders foresee demand decline

  • Oil struggles to penetrate the head-and-shoulders neckline hurdle. 
  • Trafigura and Vitol warn of coronavirus-led demand destruction. 

The US oil prices failed to cut through a crucial technical hurdle on Tuesday as global oil traders warned of coronavirus-led demand destruction. 

Global oil trading giant Trafigura's Executive Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Jeremy Weir said that the second virus wave would see demand decline by about 1 million barrels per bay (bpd) in the US and 1.5 million bpd in Europe. Meanwhile, Vitol CEO Russell Hardy predicted a reduction in demand by half a million bpd across Northwest Europe.

Major European countries such as Germany, France, and the UK have reimposed the economically-painful lockdown restrictions, which are likely to last at least four weeks. As such, oil demand is likely to decline, as predicted by Trafigura and Vitol. 

So far, comments by major oil producers have helped oil sellers defend the former support-turned-resistance of the head-and-shoulders neckline of $37.34. However, that hurdle could be breached if major oil producers support Saudi Arabia's decision to extend the output cut deal. Sources told Energy Intelligence on Monday that the Russian oil companies are open to extending the current OPEC+ output cut deal of 7.7 million barrels per day if the bearish market conditions persist. 

Besides, looking at the recent decline from $41.90 to $33.64, it appears the market has priced in the impending drop in demand. At press time, the West Texas Intermediate crude is trading at $36.88 per barrel. 

Technical levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price36.88
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open37.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA2039.69
Daily SMA5039.99
Daily SMA10040.45
Daily SMA20037.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High37.33
Previous Daily Low33.85
Previous Weekly High39.93
Previous Weekly Low35.08
Previous Monthly High41.93
Previous Monthly Low35.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%35.18
Daily Pivot Point S134.96
Daily Pivot Point S232.67
Daily Pivot Point S331.48
Daily Pivot Point R138.44
Daily Pivot Point R239.62
Daily Pivot Point R341.92

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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