|

WTI rebounds above $74.00, focus on Red Sea developments

  • WTI prices gain ground near $74.30, adding 0.52% on the day.
  • The weaker USD due to a raised bet on rate cuts from the Fed, lifts the black gold.
  • The escalating tension in the Red Sea prompted fears of shipping disruption.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $74.30 on Thursday. The recovery of WTI prices is bolstered by the softer US Dollar (USD), which lends some support to USD-denominated commodities.

That being said, the decline of the USD to a five-month low due to raising bets on interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has boosted the black gold. Investors have priced in over 88% of a rate cut starting in March 2024 and expect more than 150 basis points (bps) of rate cuts next year.

Market players will closely monitor the developments in the Red Sea as a drone attack on an oil tanker prompted fears of shipping disruption. Furthermore, the ongoing Israeli military attack in Gaza remained a major driver of market sentiment. Central Gaza was pummelling by land, sea, and air by Israeli forces on Wednesday, one day after Israel's Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, stated that the conflict would last for many months.

According to the American Petroleum Institute weekly report on Wednesday, US crude oil inventories increased by 1.837M barrels for the week ending December 23 from the previous reading of 0.939M barrels gain.

Oil traders will keep an eye on the EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change report, due on Thursday. Also, the US Initial weekly Jobless Claims, Trade Balance for November, and Pending Home Sales will be released. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around WTI prices.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price74.28
Today Daily Change0.34
Today Daily Change %0.46
Today daily open73.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA2072.63
Daily SMA5076.83
Daily SMA10080.98
Daily SMA20077.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High75.71
Previous Daily Low73.91
Previous Weekly High75.41
Previous Weekly Low71.01
Previous Monthly High83.34
Previous Monthly Low72.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%74.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%75.03
Daily Pivot Point S173.33
Daily Pivot Point S272.72
Daily Pivot Point S371.53
Daily Pivot Point R175.13
Daily Pivot Point R276.32
Daily Pivot Point R376.93

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.