|

WTI rebounds above $74.00, focus on Red Sea developments

  • WTI prices gain ground near $74.30, adding 0.52% on the day.
  • The weaker USD due to a raised bet on rate cuts from the Fed, lifts the black gold.
  • The escalating tension in the Red Sea prompted fears of shipping disruption.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $74.30 on Thursday. The recovery of WTI prices is bolstered by the softer US Dollar (USD), which lends some support to USD-denominated commodities.

That being said, the decline of the USD to a five-month low due to raising bets on interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has boosted the black gold. Investors have priced in over 88% of a rate cut starting in March 2024 and expect more than 150 basis points (bps) of rate cuts next year.

Market players will closely monitor the developments in the Red Sea as a drone attack on an oil tanker prompted fears of shipping disruption. Furthermore, the ongoing Israeli military attack in Gaza remained a major driver of market sentiment. Central Gaza was pummelling by land, sea, and air by Israeli forces on Wednesday, one day after Israel's Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, stated that the conflict would last for many months.

According to the American Petroleum Institute weekly report on Wednesday, US crude oil inventories increased by 1.837M barrels for the week ending December 23 from the previous reading of 0.939M barrels gain.

Oil traders will keep an eye on the EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change report, due on Thursday. Also, the US Initial weekly Jobless Claims, Trade Balance for November, and Pending Home Sales will be released. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around WTI prices.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price74.28
Today Daily Change0.34
Today Daily Change %0.46
Today daily open73.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA2072.63
Daily SMA5076.83
Daily SMA10080.98
Daily SMA20077.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High75.71
Previous Daily Low73.91
Previous Weekly High75.41
Previous Weekly Low71.01
Previous Monthly High83.34
Previous Monthly Low72.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%74.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%75.03
Daily Pivot Point S173.33
Daily Pivot Point S272.72
Daily Pivot Point S371.53
Daily Pivot Point R175.13
Daily Pivot Point R276.32
Daily Pivot Point R376.93

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).