|

WTI pullback on surprising US inventory build, strong USD

  • WTI trades at $87.80, down 0.33%, after US crude inventories show a 4 million barrel increase, defying expectations.
  • US inflation report reveals a 3.7% YoY rise in August, driven by a 10.6% increase in retail gasoline prices.
  • Technical outlook suggests WTI could test support at $87.23; resistance levels emerge at $88.00 and year-to-date high of $88.99.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil, trims some of its daily gains spurred by a build on US oil inventories amid expectations for a drop. This and the latest US inflation report in the United States (US) boosted the Greenback (USD), a headwind for US dollar-denominated assets. WTI is trading at $87.80, down 0.33%.

WTI retreated amid unexpected surge in US inventories, rising US Dollar

The latest US crude oil inventories showed an increase of 4 million barrels last week, crushing estimates gathered by a Reuters poll for a 1.9 million barrel contraction, in data revealed by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Additional data showed that fuel demand dropped as the summer driving period in the US ended in the September 4 Labor Day Holiday.

The latest inflation report in the US showed headline inflation rose by 3.7% YoY in August, above estimates propelled by a 10.6% increase in retail gasoline prices. Contrarily, excluding volatile items like food and energy, inflation slowed from 4.7% to 4.3%  YoY.

Oil prices had remained underpinned by Saudi Arabia and Russia’s voluntary oil production cut as both countries slashed 1.3 million barrels from the market.

WTI Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After rising to a 10-month high, WTI retraced below the September 12 daily close of $88.18 per barrel. A daily close below that level could pave the way for a pullback toward the top of an ascending-triangle top-trendline turned support at $87.23 before slumping to the $87.00 figure. A breach of the latter will expose the September 8 daily low of $85.65, ahead of slumping below the $85.00 figure. Conversely, WTI’s first resistance would be the $88.00 figure before cracking the YTD high of $88.99.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price88.02
Today Daily Change-0.16
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open88.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.71
Daily SMA5080.09
Daily SMA10075.7
Daily SMA20076.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High88.74
Previous Daily Low86.65
Previous Weekly High87.56
Previous Weekly Low84.58
Previous Monthly High84.32
Previous Monthly Low77.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%87.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%87.45
Daily Pivot Point S186.98
Daily Pivot Point S285.77
Daily Pivot Point S384.89
Daily Pivot Point R189.06
Daily Pivot Point R289.94
Daily Pivot Point R391.15
 

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.