|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil juggles below $72.00 ahead Of Biden-McCarthy talks

  • Oil price is displaying a sideways performance below $72.00 ahead of US debt-ceiling talks.
  • US Biden called partisan terms from Republicans unacceptable as the latter demanded an 8% cut on the overall budget.
  • The oil price is auctioning in a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern, which indicates volatility contraction.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, are displaying back-and-forth action below $72.00 in the Asian session. The oil price is expected to remain sideways as investors are awaiting the outcome of the US debt-ceiling negotiations.

US President Joe Biden and House of Speaker Kevin McCarthy are scheduled to make further negotiations on Monday. Earlier, US Biden called partisan terms from Republicans unacceptable as the latter demanded an 8% cut on big wrath.

Meanwhile, Reuters reported that the G7, the European Union, and Australia agreed to impose a $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian seaborne crude oil and also set an upper price limit for Russian oil products to deprive Moscow of revenues for its invasion of Ukraine.

The oil price is auctioning in a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern on a four-hour scale, which indicates volatility contraction. The upward-sloping trendline of the chart pattern is placed from May 15 low at $69.39 while the downward-sloping trendline is plotted from May 10 high at $73.81. Earlier, the oil price rebounded firmly after forming a Double Bottom chart pattern around March 20 low at $64.38.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $72.00 is stick to the oil price, indicating a lackluster performance.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the 40.00-60.00, which signals that investors await a trigger for decisive action.

Going forward, a breakdown of May 15 low at $69.39 will strengthen the downside bias and will send the oil price to May 04 low at $67.47. A breakdown of the latter will further send the asset price toward 17-month low at $64.31.

In an alternate scenario, a solid recovery above May 10 high at $73.80 will allow the asset for further upside towards May 02 high at $76.06. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to April 26 high around $78.00.

WTI four-hour chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price71.74
Today Daily Change-0.13
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open71.87
 
Trends
Daily SMA2072.77
Daily SMA5074.5
Daily SMA10076.2
Daily SMA20080.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High73.55
Previous Daily Low71.18
Previous Weekly High73.55
Previous Weekly Low69.39
Previous Monthly High83.4
Previous Monthly Low73.88
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%72.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%72.64
Daily Pivot Point S170.85
Daily Pivot Point S269.84
Daily Pivot Point S368.49
Daily Pivot Point R173.22
Daily Pivot Point R274.57
Daily Pivot Point R375.58

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).