|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil bears approach $68.30 support within six-week-old triangle

  • WTI takes offers to refresh intraday low, down for the third consecutive day in a row.
  • Fears of higher Oil supply, back of demand join US Dollar rebound to please bears.
  • Sustained trading below the key moving averages, mostly steady RSI suggest further downside of energy benchmark.
  • Bulls remain cautious below $83.40; $64.30 can prod WTI bears.

WTI renews its intraday low around $69.50 as it drops for the third consecutive day heading into Monday’s European session. In doing so, the black gold justifies fears of oversupply and lack of energy demand amid the sluggish market conditions.

Also read: WTI bears attack $70.00 as Oil producers, major economics shake demand-supply matrix

That said, the steady RSI (14) line and the black gold’s inability to cross the 50-DMA, as well as the 200-DMA, keeps the energy benchmark on the bear’s radar.

Even so, a 1.5-month-old symmetrical triangle restricts immediate Oil moves between $73.00 and $68.30.

Should the quote breaks the triangle formation towards the south, the double bottoms around $64.30, appear a tough nut to crack for the Oil sellers to crack before retaking control.

On the flip side, a clear run-up beyond the stated triangle’s top line, currently around $73.00, could challenge the 50-DMA hurdle of $74.55.

Following that, the 200-DMA level surrounding $78.50 and the $80.00 round figure can challenge WTI bulls.

It’s worth noting, however, that a broad resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since early December 2022, between $83.40 and $82.60, could challenge the black gold’s further upside past $80.00.

WTI crude oil: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price69.49
Today Daily Change-0.97
Today Daily Change %-1.38%
Today daily open70.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.66
Daily SMA5074.67
Daily SMA10075.28
Daily SMA20078.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High71.9
Previous Daily Low70.24
Previous Weekly High74.36
Previous Weekly Low69.17
Previous Monthly High76.61
Previous Monthly Low64.31
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%70.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%71.27
Daily Pivot Point S169.83
Daily Pivot Point S269.2
Daily Pivot Point S368.17
Daily Pivot Point R171.5
Daily Pivot Point R272.53
Daily Pivot Point R373.16

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD regains mild traction, falters near 0.7150

AUD/USD gathers some steam and manages to flirt with the 0.7150 level on Thursday. However, the pair has retraced some of Wednesday’s significant pullback due to renewed selling pressure on the Greenback and a slight improvement in risk sentiment following hopes of a deal in the Middle East. Wrapping up the Australian docket, the RBA’s Hauser will speak early on Friday.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold puts its 200-day SMA to the test near $4,420

Gold keeps the bullish stance in place in the latter part of Thursday’s session, although a convincing break above the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive. The precious metal’s advance comes amid the resurgence of some selling interest around the Greenback, improving risk sentiment, and declining US Treasury yields across the board.

XRP plummets as ETF outflows, geopolitical tensions reinforce bearish outlook
Ripple (XRP) edges lower, trading around $1.15 at the time of writing on Thursday, its lowest price since February 6. The cross-border money remittance token is extending the sell-off for the fifth consecutive day, reflecting persistent headwinds from ongoing geopolitical tensions and investor uncertainty.
Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.