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WTI Price Analysis: Crude Oil pullback remains elusive beyond $81.60

  • WTI remains pressured after reversing from five-month high the previous day.
  • Convergence of previous resistance line from December 2022, 200-EMA restricts immediate declines.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100-EMA act as additional downside filter.
  • Bulls need daily closing beyond $84.80 to restore confidence.

WTI crude oil defends the previous day’s U-turn from the multi-day high during early Friday, pressured around $82.20 by the press time. In doing so, the black gold price justifies the overbought RSI conditions.

With this, the energy benchmark prods the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its fall from the last November to March, near $82.00.

However, the bullish MACD signals, as well as a convergence of the resistance-turned-support line from December 2022 and the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around $81.60, appears a tough nut to crack for the WTI crude oil sellers.

Even if the quote drops below $81.60, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 100-EMA, respectively near $78.50 and $78.30, could challenge the Oil bears afterward.

Meanwhile, WTI recovery remains elusive until the quote offers a daily closing beyond December’s high of $83.30. Even so, multiple hurdles marked during the late 2022 around $84.70-80 can challenge the Oil buyers afterward.

In a case where the black gold remains firmer past $84.80, the odds of witnessing the $90.00 back to the chart can’t be ruled out.

Overall, WTI crude oil is expected to witness further pullback but the bearish trend is not in the sight.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price82.17
Today Daily Change-0.94
Today Daily Change %-1.13%
Today daily open83.11
 
Trends
Daily SMA2074.29
Daily SMA5075.9
Daily SMA10076.83
Daily SMA20082.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High83.4
Previous Daily Low81.23
Previous Weekly High81.81
Previous Weekly Low75.76
Previous Monthly High80.99
Previous Monthly Low64.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%82.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%82.06
Daily Pivot Point S181.76
Daily Pivot Point S280.41
Daily Pivot Point S379.59
Daily Pivot Point R183.93
Daily Pivot Point R284.75
Daily Pivot Point R386.09

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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