|

WTI Price Analysis: Crude Oil pullback remains elusive beyond $81.60

  • WTI remains pressured after reversing from five-month high the previous day.
  • Convergence of previous resistance line from December 2022, 200-EMA restricts immediate declines.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100-EMA act as additional downside filter.
  • Bulls need daily closing beyond $84.80 to restore confidence.

WTI crude oil defends the previous day’s U-turn from the multi-day high during early Friday, pressured around $82.20 by the press time. In doing so, the black gold price justifies the overbought RSI conditions.

With this, the energy benchmark prods the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its fall from the last November to March, near $82.00.

However, the bullish MACD signals, as well as a convergence of the resistance-turned-support line from December 2022 and the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around $81.60, appears a tough nut to crack for the WTI crude oil sellers.

Even if the quote drops below $81.60, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 100-EMA, respectively near $78.50 and $78.30, could challenge the Oil bears afterward.

Meanwhile, WTI recovery remains elusive until the quote offers a daily closing beyond December’s high of $83.30. Even so, multiple hurdles marked during the late 2022 around $84.70-80 can challenge the Oil buyers afterward.

In a case where the black gold remains firmer past $84.80, the odds of witnessing the $90.00 back to the chart can’t be ruled out.

Overall, WTI crude oil is expected to witness further pullback but the bearish trend is not in the sight.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price82.17
Today Daily Change-0.94
Today Daily Change %-1.13%
Today daily open83.11
 
Trends
Daily SMA2074.29
Daily SMA5075.9
Daily SMA10076.83
Daily SMA20082.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High83.4
Previous Daily Low81.23
Previous Weekly High81.81
Previous Weekly Low75.76
Previous Monthly High80.99
Previous Monthly Low64.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%82.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%82.06
Daily Pivot Point S181.76
Daily Pivot Point S280.41
Daily Pivot Point S379.59
Daily Pivot Point R183.93
Daily Pivot Point R284.75
Daily Pivot Point R386.09

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.
 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Ripple’s DeFi shift in focus: Navigating XRPL EVM sidechain growth, XRPFi migration and liquidity
Ripple (XRP) has continued to trade under pressure, extending its decline by approximately 63% from the record high of $3.66 in July. The remittance token is trading above support at $1.35, while its upside appears limited by key supply zones, starting with $1.40, at the time of writing on Tuesday.
The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.