|

WTI on the bids amid US-Iran conflicts, China data in the spotlight

  • Geopolitical challenges supersede trade tussle-led demand worries.
  • Political plays, China data, and Baker Hughes’ numbers can offer fresh impulse.

WTI remains on the bids around $52.50 during early Friday as the US allegations of Iran being behind the attacks on 2 oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman rekindled speculations of the US-Iran war.

The US claimed it has video footage showing Iranian coast guards removing mines from the ship while the UK also followed the suit and said it will conduct its own research based on the US news.

As rest of the global leaders like China, Japan, and the EU refrained from providing any direct statement concerning Iran’s hand in the issue, Tehran blasted over the US allegations and said it has nothing that can prove the fact.

With the geopolitical plays taking over the latest threats demand constraints due to the US-China trade tussle, investors may keep following the updates for fresh impulse.

Adding to the watch-list could be monthly industrial production and retail sales data from China and weekly oil rig count figures from the Baker Hughes.

China is the world’s largest industrial player and hence any headline data out of it has a direct impact on the commodity basket. May month retail sales are likely to rise by 8.1% versus 7.2% prior on a yearly basis while industrial production could also advance with a 5.5% mark against 5.4% previous increase on YoY.

Baker Hughes oil rig count data for the US marked depletion to 789 from 800 during the previous release and is up for publishing figures for the week to end on June 14 by later today.

Technical Analysis

FXStreet Analysis Ross J Burland says that WTI holds trend-line support while trading near 200-week exponential moving average (EMA). He further mentions that:

Bears will look for a push below the 14th Jan 50.41 low which guards the 26th November lows at 49.44. On the flip-side, a break of 53 opens 54.50 and 56 meeting the 20-D EMA.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

RBNZ set to pause interest-rate easing cycle as new Governor Breman faces firm inflation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains on track to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% after concluding its first monetary policy meeting of this year on Wednesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.