|

WTI inches lower to near $77.40 despite a threat of oil supply disruption, Chinese data

  • WTI price loses ground despite an escalated tension in the Middle East.
  • US President Joe Biden mentioned a tiered approach to respond to a given situation after an attack on a US post in Jordan.
  • Chinese Non-Manufacturing and Manufacturing PMI improved to 50.7 and 49.2, respectively in January.
  • US Weekly Crude Oil Stock data showed a decrease of 2.50M barrels, larger than the expected decrease of 0.867M barrels.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price retraces its recent gains despite an escalated situation in the Middle East. The WTI oil price inches lower to near $77.40 per barrel during the Asian session on Wednesday. US President Joe Biden has stated that the United States (US) will respond appropriately to a given situation after an attack on a US post in Jordan, and there is a possibility of a tiered approach which implies a strategy involving different levels or stages of actions.

On the positive side, Iran-aligned Iraqi armed group Kataib Hezbollah, suspected of being involved in the deadly drone attack on US troops near the Jordan-Syria border, has declared the suspension of all its military operations against the US military in the region.

Crude oil prices may experience a positive impact following the recent update on global economic growth by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF has revised its forecast, indicating expectations of stronger growth, particularly in the economies of the United States and China. Furthermore, the Chinese monthly Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) indicated an improvement in the performance of China's service sector for January arrived at 50.7, slightly surpassing the expected figure of 50.6. While, the Manufacturing PMI reached 49.2, meeting the anticipated value and advancing from the previous reading of 49.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) released the US Weekly Crude Oil Stock data on Tuesday for the week ending January 26, showing a decrease of 2.50 million barrels. This marks a larger decline than the expected decrease of 0.867 million barrels, and it's an improvement from the previous week's decline of 6.674 million barrels. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) is anticipated to release improved Crude Oil Stocks Change figures on Wednesday. In addition to the oil market indicators, market participants will closely watch the Federal Reserve's (Fed) activities for further insights into the US economic landscape.

WTI US OIL: technical level to watch

Overview
Today last price77.38
Today Daily Change-0.36
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open77.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA2073.93
Daily SMA5073.5
Daily SMA10078.81
Daily SMA20077.25
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78.05
Previous Daily Low75.81
Previous Weekly High78.2
Previous Weekly Low72.55
Previous Monthly High76.79
Previous Monthly Low67.97
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.67
Daily Pivot Point S176.35
Daily Pivot Point S274.96
Daily Pivot Point S374.11
Daily Pivot Point R178.59
Daily Pivot Point R279.44
Daily Pivot Point R380.83

(The story was corrected at 04:30 GMT on Wednesday to say "US post in Jordan" instead of "Jordon" in the first paragraph.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).