|

WTI gains momentum amid output cuts and fears of global economic slowdown; eyes set on $84.00

  • US crude oil benchmark, WTI, rises for the third consecutive day, trading at $83.48, up by 0.80%.
  • Oil demand is predicted to grow by 2.25 million bpd in 2024, down from 2024’s 2.44 million bpd, according to OPEC+.
  • Weakness in China’s economy could dent oil demand.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark advances for the third day in the week, trims some of its Thursday’s losses, as it tracks an upslope support trendline since mid-July. At the time of writing, WTI is exchanging hands at $83.48, above its opening price by 0.80%.

OPEC+ output reductions and weakening US dollar support crude’s upward trajectory, despite potential demand concerns from China

Oil prices rose on several factors weighing on the market, like Saudi Arabia and Russia’s 1.3 million of crude oil output cuts, while the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated supply cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+), could drive prices higher before economic headwinds dent global demand growth.

In the meantime, OPEC+ noted that Oil’s demand would increase by 2.25 million bpd in 2024, below this year’s 2.44 million bpd.

Meanwhile, the United States (US) inflation figures on the consumer side witnessed a dip, which weakened the greenback, and underpinned WTI’s towards its new year-to-date (YTD) high above $84.00 per barrel. Nevertheless, Friday’s US PPI data bolstered the US Dollar (USD) as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY), gaining 0.24% at 102.870, while WTI’s prices drifted lower.

Mixed economic data from China would keep WII’s gains capped on fears the country has been hit by deflation, suggesting the Covid-19 recovery would remain losing steam, weighing on oil demand,

WTI Price Analysis: Technical outlook

WTI Daily chart

WTI’s daily chart portrays the pair as upward biased, thought at the brisk of a support trendline break, which could see WTI’s diving towards the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $80.18, followed by the $80.00 figure. On the upside, WTI’s first supply zone to test would be the $84.00, ahead of challenging the $85.00 a barrel.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price82.94
Today Daily Change0.51
Today Daily Change %0.62
Today daily open82.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA2079.36
Daily SMA5074.51
Daily SMA10074.62
Daily SMA20076.33
 
Levels
Previous Daily High84.32
Previous Daily Low82.19
Previous Weekly High82.88
Previous Weekly Low78.49
Previous Monthly High81.78
Previous Monthly Low69.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%83.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%83.51
Daily Pivot Point S181.64
Daily Pivot Point S280.86
Daily Pivot Point S379.52
Daily Pivot Point R183.77
Daily Pivot Point R285.11
Daily Pivot Point R385.9

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD could test 1.1750 amid strengthening bullish bias

EUR/USD remains flat after two days of small losses, trading around 1.1740 during the Asian hours on Thursday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a strengthening of a bullish bias, as the pair continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3300s as traders await BoE and US CPI report

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.3310 area, or a one-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3370 region, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk and US consumer inflation data.

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.