|

WTI finds support in the $58.00 handle

  • Prices of WTI remains on the defensive albeit off lows.
  • Global slowdown keeps weighing on crude oil.
  • US oil rig count dropped by 9 during last week.

Prices of the barrel of the American benchmark for the sweet light crude oil are extending the leg lower although finding quite strong contention in the $58.00 region.

WTI weaker on growth fears

The barrel of WTI keeps correcting lower on the back of persistent concerns over a global slowdown and its impact on the demand for crude oil and with China, the EU and the US in the centre of the debate.

In this regard, latest PMIs figures in Euroland and the US point to some weakness in these economies, which have also added to the view of a slow pace of growth in the Chinese economy. In addition, declining US yields and the inversion of the curve also collaborates with the sour sentiment.

Somewhat supporting prices, driller Baker Hughes reported its fifth consecutive weekly drop in oil rig count, taking US active oil rigs to 824 (from 873 seen at the beginning of the year).

Later in the week, markets’ focus will be on the usual reports by the API (Tuesday) and the EIA (Wednesday) on crude oil inventories.

What to look for around WTI

Crude oil has managed to retake the critical $60.00 mark per barrel on Thursday before sparking a correction lower. In spite of the ongoing correction in prices, the bullish view in crude oil remains well in place, always propped up by the so-called ‘Saudi put’, tight conditions in the US markets (amidst US net imports in historic low levels and the rising activity in refiners ahead of the summer session), the current OPEC+ agreement to cut oil output and ongoing US sanctions against Iranian and Venezuelan crude oil exports. Furthermore, the OPEC+ could announce an extension of the current agreement to curb oil production at the cartel’s meeting in June.

WTI significant levels

At the moment the barrel of WTI is losing 0.20% at $58.55 and faces immediate contention at $57.98 (low Mar.22) seconded by $57.31 (21-day SMA) and finally $54.37 (low Mar.8). On the other hand, a breakout of $60.03 (2019 high Mar.21) would open the door for $61.76 (200-day SMA) and then $63.74 (61.8% Fibo of the October-December drop).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 as markets eye Eurozone GDP, US CPI inflation releases

The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1870 during the early Asian session on Friday. The major pair steadies amid mixed signals from the latest release of US economic indicators. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter and US inflation data, which are published later on Friday.  

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3600 vs. USD; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark as traders await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Gold: Will US CPI data trigger a range breakout?

Gold retakes $5,000 early Friday amid a turnaround from weekly lows as US CPI data loom. The US Dollar consolidates weekly losses as AI concerns-driven risk-off mood stalls downside. Technically, Gold appears primed for a big range breakout, with risks skewed toward a bullish break.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple stay weak as bearish momentum persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain under pressure, extending losses of over 5%, 6% and 4%, respectively, so far this week. BTC trades below $67,000 while ETH and XRP correct after facing rejection around key levels. With bearish momentum persisting and prices staying weak, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.