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WTI extends the rally near $78.90, US inflation data boosts Fed rate cut expectations

  • WTI prices gains traction near $78.90 on Friday.
  • The softer US April inflation data, Fed rate cut expectations, and a drop in US crude inventories boost the black gold. 
  • The ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East might cap the downside of WTI prices. 

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $78.90 on Friday. The black gold edges higher amid the recent drop in US crude inventories and the possible interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). 

The recent US CPI inflation report this week showed that US inflation eased slightly in April, prompting the expectation of interest rate cuts from the US Fed in September. This, in turn, weighs on the US Dollar (USD) and benefits USD-denominated oil as lower interest rates help stimulate the economy, which can boost crude oil demand.

About the data, a decline in oil inventories lifted the black gold. Crude inventories in the US for the week ending May 3 fell by 2.5 million barrels to 457 million barrels, from 1.36 million barrels drawn in the previous week, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The market consensus projected that stocks would decrease by 1.35 million barrels. 

On Thursday, Israel's tanks moved into Jabalia in northern Gaza and pummelling Rafah in the south without advancing, per Reuters. Ceasefire negotiations mediated by Qatar and Egypt are at a stalemate, with Hamas demanding a stop to attacks and Israel refusing until the group is annihilated. Oil traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Any escalating geopolitical risks might raise concern about oil supply disruptions, lifting the WTI prices. 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price78.98
Today Daily Change0.10
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open78.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA2080.14
Daily SMA5081.52
Daily SMA10078.36
Daily SMA20079.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79.3
Previous Daily Low77.75
Previous Weekly High79.56
Previous Weekly Low76.71
Previous Monthly High87.12
Previous Monthly Low80.62
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%78.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.34
Daily Pivot Point S177.98
Daily Pivot Point S277.09
Daily Pivot Point S376.44
Daily Pivot Point R179.53
Daily Pivot Point R280.19
Daily Pivot Point R381.08

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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