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WTI edges toward $40 again after larger than expected API draw

  • WTI has been on a rollercoaster on Tuesday and trades just under flat.
  • Crude stocks fell by 8.156mln barrels according to the American Petroleum Association. 

It's not been the best day despite some bullish fundamental news for WTI. Just recently the American Petroleum Association reported a draw of 8.256mln barrels in the latest weekly reading. Elsewhere inventories at Cushing Oaklahoma rose 0.164 mln., gasoline stocks fell 2.459mln and distillate stocks rose 2.638mln. Tomorrow the market will get the latest weekly readings from the US Energy Information Administration and this could confirm the drawdown in inventory levels.

In fundamental news, Saudi Arabia and the rest of the OPEC nations seem to have over complied with the output cuts agreed by the OPEC+ group. The output from the cartel hit its lowest point in two decades as the 13 nations pumped 22.62 million barrels per day on average in June.

Spot WTI 1-hour chart

The hourly chart below shows the price heading back up to the psychological USD 40 per barrel mark. It looked like the price was about to break lower earlier in the session but the news has helped it recover somewhat. If the level is conclusively broken then the high on the chart of USD 41.64 per barrel could be tested. 

WTI Technical Analysis

Additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price39.66
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open39.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA2038.38
Daily SMA5031.04
Daily SMA10033.81
Daily SMA20045.34
 
Levels
Previous Daily High39.92
Previous Daily Low37.6
Previous Weekly High41.65
Previous Weekly Low37.18
Previous Monthly High35.92
Previous Monthly Low19.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%39.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%38.49
Daily Pivot Point S138.2
Daily Pivot Point S236.73
Daily Pivot Point S335.87
Daily Pivot Point R140.53
Daily Pivot Point R241.39
Daily Pivot Point R342.86

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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