|

WTI consolidates the bounce around $66 ahead of key OPEC+ decision

  • WTI rebounds, snapping two-day downtrend ahead of OPEC+ meet.
  • 200-DMA at $69.83 is the level to beat on the road to recovery.
  • Oversold RSI conditions caution bears but OPEC+ outcome holds the key.

WTI (NYMEX futures) is looking to find its feet in the Asian trades this Thursday, trying another recovery attempt from three-month lows of $64.31.

In doing so, the US oil is posting modest gains on the day, trading at $65.72, having faced rejection just below the $67 mark.

The market mood remains mixed amid the recent hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell while he presents a cautious tone on persistent inflationary pressures. Growing uncertainty over the Omicron covid variant also keeps the investors away from higher-yielding currencies such as oil.

However, oil markets may be looking to reposition ahead of the critical OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) meeting, in which the alliance could pause the planned oil output increase.

Meanwhile, US Deputy Energy Secretary David Turk said on Wednesday that the timing of the strategic crude oil stockpile release could be adjusted if prices drop, per Reuters.

Looking ahead, the OPEC+ decision will be crucial for the next direction in oil. In the meantime, the broader market sentiment will continue to play its part in a potential oil-price recovery.

WTI: Technical outlook

Oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI) conditions on the daily chart suggest that a rebound could likely extend towards the 200-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at $69.83.

Ahead of that, strong offers near the $68 barrier need to be cleared on a sustained basis.

If sellers return at higher levels, then WTI could retest multi-month troughs on the $64 level, below which the additional downside will open up towards the horizontal trendline support at $62.32.

That level will be the line in the sand for WTI optimists.

 WTI: Daily chart

WTI: Additional levels to watch

WTI

Overview
Today last price65.78
Today Daily Change0.76
Today Daily Change %1.17
Today daily open65.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2076.72
Daily SMA5078.43
Daily SMA10073.77
Daily SMA20069.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High69.34
Previous Daily Low64.73
Previous Weekly High79.02
Previous Weekly Low67.31
Previous Monthly High83.97
Previous Monthly Low64.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%66.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%67.58
Daily Pivot Point S163.38
Daily Pivot Point S261.75
Daily Pivot Point S358.78
Daily Pivot Point R167.99
Daily Pivot Point R270.97
Daily Pivot Point R372.6

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

US and Israel attack Iran, risk aversion to sweep global markets

Early Saturday, United States President Donald Trump announced that the US had begun “major combat operations” in Iran, following Israel’s pre-emptive missile attacks against Tehran. The US bombed multiple locations in Tehran, Iran’s Tasnim news agency reported. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that the attacks on Iran were aimed to remove an “existential threat”.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.