|

WTI collects a bid on demand prospects taking on the $48 area

  • WTI bulls come back tot he table in a Santa Clause rally on Wall Street.
  • The "Great Rebalancing" is underway, yet some concerns still remain, according to TD Securities.

WTI is trading at $48.10 and higher 2.86% in today's range of between $46.18 and $48.48. 

Oil prices have climbed on Wednesday, boosted by draws in US inventories of crude, gasoline and distillates that lifted investors' hopes for some return in fuel demand.

Investors have ducked a threat by US President Donald Trump not to sign a pandemic relief bill, while investors sentiment also soared on rising expectations of a Brexit trade deal.

There was a wobble in sentiment overnight when a video posted on Twitter by US President Donald Trump said a stimulus bill, agreed upon after months of wrangling in Congress, was "a disgrace" and that he wanted to increase "ridiculously low" $600 payments for individuals to $2,000.

However, the markets still believed a fiscal package would come soon, whether under Trump or President-elect Joe Biden. At the same time, pharmaceutical companies have said that their vaccines would likely be effective against the new highly contagious COVID-19 variant.

"AZD1222 (AstraZeneca's vaccine candidate) contains the genetic material of the SARS-CoV-2 virus spike protein, and the changes to the genetic code seen in this new viral strain do not appear to change the structure of the spike protein," said an AstraZeneca representative in an email to Reuters.

Meanwhile, BioNTech-Pfizer has begun shipping its vaccine across Europe. DW has the latest. 

Yesterday, the New York Times reported Tuesday that Pfizer was nearing a new deal with the US to provide more vaccine doses. A deal could come as soon as Wednesday.

The government is asking for 100 million additional doses from April to June. The company has already signed a contract to deliver 100 million doses by the end of March. That deal was signed at the end of July 2020.

Meanwhile, US crude inventories fell by 562,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 18 to 499.5 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

Gasoline stocks fell by a surprise 1.1 million barrels in the week to 237.8 million barrels, the EIA said, while distillate stockpiles fell by 2.3 million barrels in the week to 148.9 million barrels, more than expected.

''The oil glut should be cleared by the end of 2021, fueled by normalizing demand for products and by OPEC+ supply management. In particular, we expect under-producing refiners and recovering demand to tighten product inventories and support crack spreads,'' analysts at TD Securities explained.

''The "Great Rebalancing" is underway, yet some concerns still remain, particularly as Iran is planning to grow its oil production in the next year, suggesting the nation is readying for a potential return to the negotiating table with the President-Elect. Yet, we argue that this will not likely be a priority for the new Administration, suggesting a continued rebalancing in energy markets.''

''Notwithstanding, a significant amount of OPEC spare capacity will provide an offset to the demand growth, which should keep the rally in energy markets from breaking away.''

WTI

Overview
Today last price48.21
Today Daily Change1.25
Today Daily Change %2.66
Today daily open46.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA2046.5
Daily SMA5042.75
Daily SMA10041.8
Daily SMA20037.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High47.99
Previous Daily Low46.63
Previous Weekly High49.43
Previous Weekly Low45.87
Previous Monthly High46.31
Previous Monthly Low33.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%47.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%47.47
Daily Pivot Point S146.4
Daily Pivot Point S245.83
Daily Pivot Point S345.03
Daily Pivot Point R147.76
Daily Pivot Point R248.56
Daily Pivot Point R349.13

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks apathetic around 1.1770

EUR/USD comes under renewed pressure on Tuesday, deflating below the 1.1800 support and reversing two consecutive days of gains. The pair’s decline follows the persistent move higher in the US Dollar, as trade uncertainty dominates the sentiment ahead of President Trump’s SOTU speech.

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Ripple’s DeFi shift in focus: Navigating XRPL EVM sidechain growth, XRPFi migration and liquidity

Ripple (XRP) has continued to trade under pressure, extending its decline by approximately 63% from the record high of $3.66 in July. The remittance token is trading above support at $1.35, while its upside appears limited by key supply zones, starting with $1.40, at the time of writing on Tuesday.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.