|

WTI bulls have a lot to price at this juncture, en route towards $57.85/93 double-top

  • WTI is extending its recovery from the $54.74bbls lows, currently trading at 56.50 from a low of $56.21bbls and to a high of $56.56bbls.
  • The price has proven its fragility at the trend-line support est.11th Feb and bulls tread with caution. 

Crude oil prices ended the week on a sour note, but have at least made a recovery with a strong rejection from the bulls no the downside. Prices have been falling sharply on concerns of weak demand after weak economic data.

Analysts at ANZ Bank explained that coupled with the US monthly jobs report showing hiring at its weakest in more than a year with a poor global growth outlook exacerbated by a slump in Chinese exports whereby the 20.7% fall in exports was the biggest fall since February 2016, has raised concerns about the impact that the trade tensions are having on the global economy:

"These issues outweighed the impact of data showing a slowdown in US drilling. The number of rigs drilling for oil in the US fell by nine to 834, according to Baker Hughes data. This is the third straight week of declines. A key oil services company warned that they expect cuts to drilling activity after a number of oil producers trimmed their spending outlooks for 2019."

WTI levels

The price has proven its fragility at the trend line support est.11th Feb and the support is now wider, shifted to the lows on Friday located at 54.55 - This is where the Kijun-sen can be located on the daily charts. If the 55.56 lows seen at the start of this month are broken again, bears will look for a run back towards the 50 handle with the confluence of the 23.6% Fibo target at 50.20. Bulls can look to a target of the recent tops of 57.17 (78.6% Fibo) ahead of the 57.85/93 double-tops. While the price is recovering, bulls need to get and hold above the 50% retracement of the March decline at 56.20).

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Downward-sloping 20-day EMA reflects bearish tone, ECB policy awaited

The EUR/USD pair trades slightly higher to near 1.1550 during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The major currency pair edges higher as the Euro gains ahead of the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement at 12:15 GMT.



GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite rising Fed hike bets

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid rising expectations for higher-for-longer US interest rates. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the US Producer Price Index report.

$4000 at risk: Gold sellers refuse to give up amid hot US inflation, Mideast tensions

Gold pauses its recovery from seven-month lows of $4,024 in Wednesday’s Asian trading, after facing fresh offers above the $4,100 level. Gold sellers refuse to give up despite the continued hostilities in the Middle East.

Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid growing short-term holder losses, weak ETF demand

Bitcoin's recent decline toward the $60,000 level has pushed the market further into bearish territory, with new investors suffering huge unrealized losses, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm noted that Bitcoin's earlier May rally now appears increasingly as a "bear bounce".

From sizzle to fizzle: Tech sinks as Oil puts the Fed tail back on the table
Wall Street was not hit by one punch. It was caught between three swinging doors at the same time: a renewed technology unwind, a fresh geopolitical oil bid, and a wave of equity supply that is starting to look less like capital formation and more like a liquidity test for the entire AI complex.
The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.