|

Watch Live: Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari Speaks

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday said he still sees "a lot of slack" in the US labour market, with some six million to eight million Americans out of work who would have been employed had the pandemic not hit.

''We are a few years away from raising the Federal funds rate'' said Kashkari at the Pacific Northwest Economic Regional Annual Summit in Big Sky, Montana. 

"There still is slack on the sidelines," he argued. 

He said that recent high inflation readings are likely to be short-lived, and should subside as workers return to the labour force; still, he added, the Delta variant could slow the recovery.

On taper, he said ''it's a question of when not if,'' and, ''timing of taper will depend on progress in labour market.''

Watch Live

Key comments

Sees inflation transitory. 

Even with a strong July jobs report, still 6-8 mln Americans not working who would have been had pandemic not happened.

Still see a lot of slack in the labour market.

I believe these will be short-lived high inflation readings.

monitoring data closely to see if high inflation readings will be temporary or not.

The base case scenario is people do want to work, will return to the labour market.

Govt borrowing at low interest rates to fund long-term investments doesn't give me concern.

Too much debt for the economy would lead to inflation, but that should show up in rate that govt borrows at, and don't see that now.

Fed would raise rates to fight inflation if needed.

Delta variant is a risk.

Have delayed return to work for Minneapolis fed staff.

Delta effects could lead to a more sluggish recovery.

On taper, it's a question of when, not if.

Timing of taper will depend on progress in labor market.

End of this year, the beginning of next year, are reasonable possibilities for the start of the taper.

Best guess is fed is still a few years away from raising interest rates.

Market implications

As per the article above, Kashkari is bucking the trend of other hawkish Fed members but is unlikely to shift the expectation in the market of a move to tapering from the Fed later this year. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to multi-week lows near 1.1640

EUR/USD is down for the third straight day on Thursday, coming under extra downside pressure and approaching its transitory 55-day SMA around 1.1640 amid tge persistent recovery in the Greenback. Moving forward, market participants should remain prudent ahead of the release of Friday’s US NFP figures.

GBP/USD: Further weakness could challenge 1.3400

GBP/USD remains under unabated selling pressure on Thursday, slipping to fresh three-day lows around 1.3415 in response to further improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback ahead of Friday’s key NFP data.

Gold edges lower as bulls opt to wait for the crucial US NFP report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish move up from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday as bulls seem reluctant ahead of the US NFP report. The critical US employment details will offer more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path, which, in turn, will influence the US Dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding bullion. In the meantime, dovish Fed expectations and rising geopolitical tensions might continue to act as a tailwind for the XAU/USD.

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple (XRP) is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.