|premium|

VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX Stock) an incomplete sequence favors more downside [Video]

The Elliott Wave view in GDX suggests that the main cycle from the August 20, 2020 peak is showing an incomplete sequence. Favoring more downside to happen based on sequence towards $24.80- $21.36 area lower before a turn back higher happens. While the short-term cycle suggests that the decline to $30.05 low ended wave 1 of (C) in 5 waves lower. Up from there, GDX did an expanded flat correction in wave 2 bounce.

While an initial 3 swing bounce ended wave ((a)) at a $31.59 high. Down from there, wave ((b)) also ended in 3 swings at $28.90 low. Then the bounce in ((c)) leg unfolded in 5 wave impulse sequence. In which, wave (i) ended at $30.16 high, wave (ii) ended at $29.95 low, wave (iii) ended at $31.54, wave (iv) ended at $31.19 low, and wave (v) ended at $31.77 high. Thus ended wave 2 as an expanded flat correction.

Below from there, GDX declined in 5 waves lower & ended small wave ((i)) of 3 at $30.15 low. And now doing a 3 swing bounce in wave ((ii)), which can see $31.29- $31.51 area before turning lower again. Near-term, as far as bounces fail below $31.77 high then ETF is expected to fail lower looking for more downside. Alternatively, if it breaks above $31.77 high then it can even see $33.01- $34.77 area higher before seeing sellers again.

GDX 1 Hour Elliott Wave chart

GDX

GDX Elliott Wave video

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

FX alert: When Energy still writes the macro script the Dollar holds the pen

The market is quietly sliding back into the trade nobody wanted to own, but everyone now has to respect again. The no quick off-ramp trade. Yesterday’s bounce in risk assets already looks less like a turning point and more like a classic relief rally in a market that briefly inhaled before realizing the room was still on fire.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.