|

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) US ETF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

SMH Elliott Wave technical analysis – Daily chart

Function: Trend.

Mode: Motive.

Structure: Impulsive.

Position: Wave (iii) of {iii}.

Direction: Upside in wave (iii).

Details: Wave v of (iii) is unfolding. We're nearing TradingLevel3 at $300. The speed and angle of this rally support the idea that SMH is in the third wave of a third wave, typically the most aggressive phase in a bullish trend.

Chart

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) – One-hour chart

Function: Trend.

Mode: Motive.

Structure: Impulsive.

Position: Wave v of (iii).

Direction: Top in wave v.

Details: SMH is targeting the end of wave v. The first wave v target is $282, aligned with a 0.618 Fibonacci extension relative to wave i. This is a typical projection and may mark a short-term high before entering wave (iv) correction.

This analysis highlights the current market structure of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) using Elliott Wave Theory. Both daily and hourly timeframes suggest bullish momentum with specific wave levels offering insight into upcoming market behavior.

Daily chart summary

SMH remains strong within wave (iii) of {iii}, often the most powerful stage in an Elliott wave. As the price nears the $300 mark, bullish signals remain intact.

One-hour chart summary

SMH is likely reaching the top of wave v of (iii), with $282 as an immediate upside target. This may lead into a brief corrective wave (iv) before another advance.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) US ETF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.