|

USDJPY still looking for support, drops more than 5% in two days

  • US dollar extends losses on Friday, even as stocks decline.
  • Japanese yen is among the best performers of the day and the week.  
  • USDJPY heads for a weekly loss of near 900 pips.

The USDJPY is testing levels under 139.00 during Friday’s American session, holding onto significant weekly losses. During the last two days, the pair dropped more than 700 pips.

The October US CPI triggered sharp market moves that favored the yen. On Friday, the USDJPY rose to 142.40/50 only to turn to the downside again breaking under 140.00.

Terrible week for USD, outlook still negative

The collapse of the Dollar and lower US yields sent the USDJPY down during the week from 147.15 to levels under 139.00, falling almost 6% on the worst week in years. The pair is back at August levels and clearly below the 20-week Simple Moving Average for the first time since January 2021.

The DXY is extending weekly losses late on Friday as it drops 1.12%, to 106.70, the lowest since mid-August. Not even a decline in equity prices, nor a bad reading in US Consumer Sentiment is helping the Dollar.

Next week, attention will continue to be on the USD’s trend. Economic data in the US includes the Producer Price Index on Tuesday and Retail Sales on Wednesday. In Japan, the National CPI will be released Friday with an increase expected from 3.0% to 3.7%. “In a sign that inflation is becoming more broad-based, core ex-energy is expected at 2.4% y/y vs. 1.8% in September.  Yet the BOJ shows no signs of pivoting under Governor Kuroda.  The next policy meeting is December 19-20 and no change is expected then”, said analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman.

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price139.1
Today Daily Change-2.13
Today Daily Change %-1.51
Today daily open141.23
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147.57
Daily SMA50145.42
Daily SMA100140.73
Daily SMA200132.62
 
Levels
Previous Daily High146.59
Previous Daily Low141.2
Previous Weekly High148.85
Previous Weekly Low145.67
Previous Monthly High151.94
Previous Monthly Low143.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%143.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%144.53
Daily Pivot Point S1139.42
Daily Pivot Point S2137.62
Daily Pivot Point S3134.03
Daily Pivot Point R1144.81
Daily Pivot Point R2148.39
Daily Pivot Point R3150.2

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data. 

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.