|

USDJPY still looking for support, drops more than 5% in two days

  • US dollar extends losses on Friday, even as stocks decline.
  • Japanese yen is among the best performers of the day and the week.  
  • USDJPY heads for a weekly loss of near 900 pips.

The USDJPY is testing levels under 139.00 during Friday’s American session, holding onto significant weekly losses. During the last two days, the pair dropped more than 700 pips.

The October US CPI triggered sharp market moves that favored the yen. On Friday, the USDJPY rose to 142.40/50 only to turn to the downside again breaking under 140.00.

Terrible week for USD, outlook still negative

The collapse of the Dollar and lower US yields sent the USDJPY down during the week from 147.15 to levels under 139.00, falling almost 6% on the worst week in years. The pair is back at August levels and clearly below the 20-week Simple Moving Average for the first time since January 2021.

The DXY is extending weekly losses late on Friday as it drops 1.12%, to 106.70, the lowest since mid-August. Not even a decline in equity prices, nor a bad reading in US Consumer Sentiment is helping the Dollar.

Next week, attention will continue to be on the USD’s trend. Economic data in the US includes the Producer Price Index on Tuesday and Retail Sales on Wednesday. In Japan, the National CPI will be released Friday with an increase expected from 3.0% to 3.7%. “In a sign that inflation is becoming more broad-based, core ex-energy is expected at 2.4% y/y vs. 1.8% in September.  Yet the BOJ shows no signs of pivoting under Governor Kuroda.  The next policy meeting is December 19-20 and no change is expected then”, said analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman.

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price139.1
Today Daily Change-2.13
Today Daily Change %-1.51
Today daily open141.23
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147.57
Daily SMA50145.42
Daily SMA100140.73
Daily SMA200132.62
 
Levels
Previous Daily High146.59
Previous Daily Low141.2
Previous Weekly High148.85
Previous Weekly Low145.67
Previous Monthly High151.94
Previous Monthly Low143.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%143.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%144.53
Daily Pivot Point S1139.42
Daily Pivot Point S2137.62
Daily Pivot Point S3134.03
Daily Pivot Point R1144.81
Daily Pivot Point R2148.39
Daily Pivot Point R3150.2

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.