|

USDCAD Price Analysis: Recovery seeks validation from 50-DMA hurdle near 1.3500

  • USDCAD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from six-week low.
  • Bearish MACD signals, steady RSI keep sellers hopeful.
  • Buyers can return unless breaking 1.3340, inverted hammer challenges bearish bias.

USDCAD extends the week-start rebound to 1.3510 during early Tuesday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the Loonie pair justifies the previous day’s “inverted hammer” bullish candlestick while poking the 50-DMA hurdle.

It should be noted, however, that the Loonie pair’s sustained break of a one-month-old horizontal area surrounding 1.3500 during the last week joins the bearish MACD signals to suggest the quote’s underlying weakness in momentum.

Hence, the latest rebound appears elusive unless the quote provides a daily closing beyond the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3515.

Following that, a gradual run-up toward s1.3610 and 1.3720 can’t be ruled out. However, multiple hurdles around 1.3840-50 could challenge the USDCAD bulls afterward.

Meanwhile, fresh sellers could wait for the quote’s downside break of the latest swing low, around 1.3465.

Following that, a convergence of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s August-October upside and a three-month-old ascending support line, surrounding 1.3350-40, will be crucial to watch for the USDCAD bears.

Should the quote provides a daily closing below 1.3340, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the early September highs near 1.3210 can’t be ruled out. Adding strength to the said support is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio.

USDCAD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3504
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open1.3491
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3679
Daily SMA501.3504
Daily SMA1001.3211
Daily SMA2001.2965
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3553
Previous Daily Low1.3465
Previous Weekly High1.3808
Previous Weekly Low1.3469
Previous Monthly High1.3978
Previous Monthly Low1.3496
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.352
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3499
Daily Pivot Point S11.3453
Daily Pivot Point S21.3415
Daily Pivot Point S31.3365
Daily Pivot Point R11.3541
Daily Pivot Point R21.3591
Daily Pivot Point R31.3629

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD climbs to four-day highs near 1.3250

GBP/USD rapidly reverses Friday’s small losses and challenges the 1.3250 level, or four-day tops, at the beginning of the week. Cable’s upside comes on the back of further loss of momentum in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD extends the advance past 1.1400

EUR/USD starts the week on a positive note, trading above 1.1400 on Monday as broad-based US Dollar weakness lends support to the pair. In the meantime, investors continue to monitor developments surrounding efforts to end the US-Iran conflict, while attention gradually shifts to the ECB's annual forum and the US NFP data.

Gold falters just ahead of $4,100

Gold remains under modest bearish pressure just above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal struggles to extend its recent gains as renewed effervescence in the Middle East revives inflation concerns and bolsters Fed rate hike expectations.

Bitcoin four-year cycle: BTC risks 75% drawdown with four months of bear market still ahead

Bitcoin price continues to trend downward below the $60,000 support zone after losing over 50% of its value since the $126,199 high in October. Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, measured from cycle tops to bottoms, suggests that four months of a bear market are still ahead.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.