|

USD/ZAR Price Analysis: South African Rand eases from record high within longer-term bullish channel

  • USD/ZAR retreats from all-time high to pare the biggest daily gains in a year amid overbought RSI.
  • 18-month-old rising trend channel keeps South African Rand sellers hopeful.
  • Previous resistance from March restricts immediate downside ahead of 10-DMA.

USD/ZAR takes offers to refresh intraday low as it steps back from the all-time high marked the previous day. In doing so, the South African Rand (ZAR) pair drops 0.25% intraday to 19.75 heading into Friday’s European session.

That said, the USD/ZAR pair marked the biggest daily gains in a year the previous day as it crossed an upward-sloping resistance line from March, now immediate support near 19.70. However, the overbought RSI (14) allowed South African Rand traders to lick their wounds within a 1.5-year-old rising trend channel bullish formation.

Hence, a two-month-old resistance-turned-support line, around 19.70 restricts the immediate downside of the USD/ZAR pair ahead of highlighting the tops marked earlier in the month around 19.52 and 19.51.

In a case where the South African Rand recovers beyond 19.51, the 10-DMA and an upward-sloping trend line from October 2022, close to 19.33 and 18.80 in that order, could challenge the pair sellers.

On the flip side, the 20.00 psychological magnet lures the USD/ZAR buyers ahead of the stated channel’s top line surrounding 20.12.

Overall, the South African Rand remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest pullback.

USD/ZAR: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected 

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price19.7426
Today Daily Change-0.0612
Today Daily Change %-0.31%
Today daily open19.8038
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.9081
Daily SMA5018.4809
Daily SMA10018.1023
Daily SMA20017.8135
 
Levels
Previous Daily High19.8326
Previous Daily Low19.2395
Previous Weekly High19.525
Previous Weekly Low18.9943
Previous Monthly High18.5399
Previous Monthly Low17.7526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%19.606
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%19.4661
Daily Pivot Point S119.418
Daily Pivot Point S219.0323
Daily Pivot Point S318.825
Daily Pivot Point R120.011
Daily Pivot Point R220.2183
Daily Pivot Point R320.604

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).