|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso slides to 50-HMA, bulls remain hopeful above 17.35

  • USD/MXN prints the first daily gains in three, bounces off the lowest levels since 2016.
  • Immediate resistance break joins upbeat oscillators to favor short-term pair buyers.
  • Mexican Peso sellers need to conquer 200-HMA to topple bulls.

USD/MXN grinds near intraday high of around 17.20 as it prod the 50-Hour Moving Average (HMA) during the first positive day in three on early Thursday. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair defends the late Wednesday’s rebound from the lowest levels since 2016.

That said, a clear break of the previous resistance line stretched from Tuesday joins bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, to keep the USD/MXN bulls hopeful.

However, multiple hurdles toward the north keep challenging the pair’s upside momentum.

Among them, the 50-HMA level of around 17.21 guards immediate recovery ahead of a one-week-old downward-sloping resistance line, around 17.25 by the press time.

Following that, the 100-HMA and the 200-HMA, respectively near 17.26 and 17.35 in that order, will challenge the USD/MXN bulls before giving control to them.

On the flip side, a clear break of the resistance-turned-support line, near 17.16 by the press time, becomes necessary to convince USD/MXN sellers.

Following that, the bears may easily conquer the latest trough of 17.07 in search of poking the 17.00 psychological magnet.

It should be noted that the year 2016 bottom of around 17.05 acts as an extra filter toward the south.

USD/MXN: Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.2092
Today Daily Change0.1024
Today Daily Change %0.60%
Today daily open17.1068
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.5604
Daily SMA5017.7747
Daily SMA10018.1337
Daily SMA20018.8751
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.2471
Previous Daily Low17.0789
Previous Weekly High17.5981
Previous Weekly Low17.2591
Previous Monthly High18.078
Previous Monthly Low17.4203
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.1431
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.1829
Daily Pivot Point S117.0414
Daily Pivot Point S216.976
Daily Pivot Point S316.8731
Daily Pivot Point R117.2097
Daily Pivot Point R217.3125
Daily Pivot Point R317.3779

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims losses, approaches 1.3500

GBP/USD adds to the multi-day negative streak, although it has managed to bounce off earlier four-week lows near 1.3470 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Cable’s deep correction comes despite the tepid performance in the Greenback and the persistent geopolitical concerns.

EUR/USD slips back toward 1.1580 on USD recovery

EUR/USD comes under some pressure and revisits the 1.1580 region as the NA session draws to a close on Wednesday. That said, spot adds to Tuesday’s bearish performance while the Greenback is slowly gathering steam and leaving behind earlier lows.

Gold keeps the recovery in place; focus is back to $4,400

Gold continues to regain ground lost and sets its target on the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s rebound comes amid modest losses in the US Dollar, steady geopolitical uncertainty and mixed US Treasury yields.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC comes under pressure, XAU rebounds amid US-Iran strikes
Bitcoin (BTC) remains neutral-to-bullish, edging lower near $77,000 support on Wednesday. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been unable to sustain a recovery after being rejected around $81,500 last Friday. Meanwhile, its downside appears broadly protected due to an established moving average cluster.
BoC recap: Risks are shifting as Oil prices and US trade actions complicate outlook
The Bank of Canada (BoC) left its overnight interest rate unchanged at 2.25% on Wednesday, as widely anticipated, but delivered a more cautious message as inflation risks increased and the recovery became harder to assess.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.