|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso slides to 50-HMA, bulls remain hopeful above 17.35

  • USD/MXN prints the first daily gains in three, bounces off the lowest levels since 2016.
  • Immediate resistance break joins upbeat oscillators to favor short-term pair buyers.
  • Mexican Peso sellers need to conquer 200-HMA to topple bulls.

USD/MXN grinds near intraday high of around 17.20 as it prod the 50-Hour Moving Average (HMA) during the first positive day in three on early Thursday. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair defends the late Wednesday’s rebound from the lowest levels since 2016.

That said, a clear break of the previous resistance line stretched from Tuesday joins bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, to keep the USD/MXN bulls hopeful.

However, multiple hurdles toward the north keep challenging the pair’s upside momentum.

Among them, the 50-HMA level of around 17.21 guards immediate recovery ahead of a one-week-old downward-sloping resistance line, around 17.25 by the press time.

Following that, the 100-HMA and the 200-HMA, respectively near 17.26 and 17.35 in that order, will challenge the USD/MXN bulls before giving control to them.

On the flip side, a clear break of the resistance-turned-support line, near 17.16 by the press time, becomes necessary to convince USD/MXN sellers.

Following that, the bears may easily conquer the latest trough of 17.07 in search of poking the 17.00 psychological magnet.

It should be noted that the year 2016 bottom of around 17.05 acts as an extra filter toward the south.

USD/MXN: Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.2092
Today Daily Change0.1024
Today Daily Change %0.60%
Today daily open17.1068
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.5604
Daily SMA5017.7747
Daily SMA10018.1337
Daily SMA20018.8751
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.2471
Previous Daily Low17.0789
Previous Weekly High17.5981
Previous Weekly Low17.2591
Previous Monthly High18.078
Previous Monthly Low17.4203
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.1431
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.1829
Daily Pivot Point S117.0414
Daily Pivot Point S216.976
Daily Pivot Point S316.8731
Daily Pivot Point R117.2097
Daily Pivot Point R217.3125
Daily Pivot Point R317.3779

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates gains just above 0.7000

AUD/USD rebounds sharply and manages to reclaim the area beyond the 0.7000 threshold on Wednesday. Indeed, the pair sets aside two daily drops in a row and regains balance on the back of the marked pullback in the Greenback as investors keep assessing the results from the US Midterms elections.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold pops to four-day highs near $4,050

Gold manages to regain some composure, leaving behind two consecutive daily pullbacks and reclaiming the area above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The strong decline in the US Dollar, shrinking US Treasury yields across the curve and lower crude oil price all contributes to the yellow metal’s recovery.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC tops $80K, XAU reclaims $4,000 as Democrats take control of Congress
Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAU/USD) are gaining momentum on Wednesday, as bulls stage a comeback. BTC’s position above $80,000 signals a bullish turnaround, erasing sharp losses from the Binance hack, which impacted $6.3 billion. Meanwhile, Gold’s recovery above $4,000 could strengthen bullish sentiment after the United States (US) midterm elections.
US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep
1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.
US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.