|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso slides to 50-HMA, bulls remain hopeful above 17.35

  • USD/MXN prints the first daily gains in three, bounces off the lowest levels since 2016.
  • Immediate resistance break joins upbeat oscillators to favor short-term pair buyers.
  • Mexican Peso sellers need to conquer 200-HMA to topple bulls.

USD/MXN grinds near intraday high of around 17.20 as it prod the 50-Hour Moving Average (HMA) during the first positive day in three on early Thursday. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair defends the late Wednesday’s rebound from the lowest levels since 2016.

That said, a clear break of the previous resistance line stretched from Tuesday joins bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, to keep the USD/MXN bulls hopeful.

However, multiple hurdles toward the north keep challenging the pair’s upside momentum.

Among them, the 50-HMA level of around 17.21 guards immediate recovery ahead of a one-week-old downward-sloping resistance line, around 17.25 by the press time.

Following that, the 100-HMA and the 200-HMA, respectively near 17.26 and 17.35 in that order, will challenge the USD/MXN bulls before giving control to them.

On the flip side, a clear break of the resistance-turned-support line, near 17.16 by the press time, becomes necessary to convince USD/MXN sellers.

Following that, the bears may easily conquer the latest trough of 17.07 in search of poking the 17.00 psychological magnet.

It should be noted that the year 2016 bottom of around 17.05 acts as an extra filter toward the south.

USD/MXN: Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.2092
Today Daily Change0.1024
Today Daily Change %0.60%
Today daily open17.1068
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.5604
Daily SMA5017.7747
Daily SMA10018.1337
Daily SMA20018.8751
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.2471
Previous Daily Low17.0789
Previous Weekly High17.5981
Previous Weekly Low17.2591
Previous Monthly High18.078
Previous Monthly Low17.4203
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.1431
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.1829
Daily Pivot Point S117.0414
Daily Pivot Point S216.976
Daily Pivot Point S316.8731
Daily Pivot Point R117.2097
Daily Pivot Point R217.3125
Daily Pivot Point R317.3779

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).