|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Falling wedge lures Mexican Peso bears, focus on 16.80

  • USD/MXN portrays falling wedge bullish chart formation at the lowest levels since December 2015.
  • Gradually firmer RSI (14) favors gradual recovery of the Mexican Peso pair.
  • Convergence of 100-SMA, weekly resistance line appears a tough nut to crack for bulls.
  • Sellers could aim for late 2015 lows on breaking 16.67 support.

USD/MXN grind near intraday high as it prods the key upside hurdle within a bullish chart pattern during early Wednesday, close to 16.75 by the press time.

In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair jostles with an upper line of a one-week-old falling wedge bullish formation.

Adding credence to the recovery hopes is the RSI (14) line that portrays higher lows, as well as mark the divergence with the price even when the USD/MXN dropped to a fresh low since December 2015.

With this, the USD/MXN pair is likely to confirm the falling wedge chart pattern by crossing the 16.76 hurdle, which in turn suggests a theoretical target of 17.03.

However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and a descending trend line from July 11, around 16.80 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers.

On the contrary, the latest multi-month low marked on Tuesday, around 16.69, precedes the stated wedge’s bottom line of near 16.67 to restrict the short-term downside of the USD/MXN pair.

Following that, the lows marked in December and November of 2015, respectively around 1647 and 16.35, will gain the Mexican Peso pair seller’s attention.

USD/MXN: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price16.7548
Today Daily Change0.0038
Today Daily Change %0.02%
Today daily open16.751
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.0304
Daily SMA5017.3112
Daily SMA10017.754
Daily SMA20018.5137
 
Levels
Previous Daily High16.783
Previous Daily Low16.6924
Previous Weekly High17.1746
Previous Weekly Low16.7167
Previous Monthly High17.7286
Previous Monthly Low17.0243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%16.7484
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%16.727
Daily Pivot Point S116.7013
Daily Pivot Point S216.6515
Daily Pivot Point S316.6107
Daily Pivot Point R116.7919
Daily Pivot Point R216.8327
Daily Pivot Point R316.8825

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD trades marginally lower on the day but holds above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair holds near its intraday high as the US Dollar remains pressured by hopes the Middle East conflict will soon come to an end.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 as investors await war clarity

GBP/USD remains near its daily open, not far from 1.3400, in the second half of Friday's session. The US Dollar lost its previous intraday strength and weakens as investors await clarity on the US-Iran war.

Gold stabilizes above $4,200 as wait-and-see continues

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) stabilized around the $4,200 mark in the American session on Friday. The US dollar seesaws between gains and losses, but remains within familiar levels as investors remain skeptical yet hopeful about a resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

SpaceX launches 24% higher at Friday debut
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), aka SpaceX, zoomed 24% higher soon after the start of its first IPO trading day on Friday. Shares of the rocket and artificial intelligence (AI) company founded by Elon Musk began trading at about 11:46 am EST and quickly gained speed.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.