|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Falling wedge lures Mexican Peso bears, focus on 16.80

  • USD/MXN portrays falling wedge bullish chart formation at the lowest levels since December 2015.
  • Gradually firmer RSI (14) favors gradual recovery of the Mexican Peso pair.
  • Convergence of 100-SMA, weekly resistance line appears a tough nut to crack for bulls.
  • Sellers could aim for late 2015 lows on breaking 16.67 support.

USD/MXN grind near intraday high as it prods the key upside hurdle within a bullish chart pattern during early Wednesday, close to 16.75 by the press time.

In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair jostles with an upper line of a one-week-old falling wedge bullish formation.

Adding credence to the recovery hopes is the RSI (14) line that portrays higher lows, as well as mark the divergence with the price even when the USD/MXN dropped to a fresh low since December 2015.

With this, the USD/MXN pair is likely to confirm the falling wedge chart pattern by crossing the 16.76 hurdle, which in turn suggests a theoretical target of 17.03.

However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and a descending trend line from July 11, around 16.80 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers.

On the contrary, the latest multi-month low marked on Tuesday, around 16.69, precedes the stated wedge’s bottom line of near 16.67 to restrict the short-term downside of the USD/MXN pair.

Following that, the lows marked in December and November of 2015, respectively around 1647 and 16.35, will gain the Mexican Peso pair seller’s attention.

USD/MXN: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price16.7548
Today Daily Change0.0038
Today Daily Change %0.02%
Today daily open16.751
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.0304
Daily SMA5017.3112
Daily SMA10017.754
Daily SMA20018.5137
 
Levels
Previous Daily High16.783
Previous Daily Low16.6924
Previous Weekly High17.1746
Previous Weekly Low16.7167
Previous Monthly High17.7286
Previous Monthly Low17.0243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%16.7484
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%16.727
Daily Pivot Point S116.7013
Daily Pivot Point S216.6515
Daily Pivot Point S316.6107
Daily Pivot Point R116.7919
Daily Pivot Point R216.8327
Daily Pivot Point R316.8825

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.