|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Bullish momentum fades, critical support around 19.95

  • USD/MXN fails to break medium-term trendline, retreats toward 20.00
  • Risk appetite supports Mexican peso, Banxico meeting on Thursday.

The USD/MXN is trading modestly higher on Monday, after falling sharply on Friday on the back of a general decline of the US dollar and supported by risk appetite across financial markets. What happens in Wall Street continues to be important for the cross. On Thursday the Bank of Mexico meets, a rate cut is expected.

Last week, USD/MXN failed to hold above 20.40 and pulled back. The bullish momentum eased favoring a downside correction. The pair is holding above the 19.95/20.00 area, which is a critical support, where the 20 and 55-day moving averages converge, and a horizontal and a psychological support. A close clearly below 19.95 would weaken the outlook for the dollar.

At the moment, USD/MXN is consolidating above the 20.00 area, showing a modest upside bias, but in order to clear the way to more gains, it needs to make a firm break above 20.40, targeting 20.60. Above the next strong resistance stands at 20.80.

USD/MXN daily chart

usdmxn

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price20.1246
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open20.124
 
Trends
Daily SMA2020.0088
Daily SMA5019.9729
Daily SMA10020.5202
Daily SMA20021.4596
 
Levels
Previous Daily High20.4237
Previous Daily Low20.0824
Previous Weekly High20.593
Previous Weekly Low20.0739
Previous Monthly High20.551
Previous Monthly Low19.5491
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.2128
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.2933
Daily Pivot Point S119.9964
Daily Pivot Point S219.8688
Daily Pivot Point S319.6551
Daily Pivot Point R120.3376
Daily Pivot Point R220.5513
Daily Pivot Point R320.6789

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows. 

Gold rebounds ahead of US ADP, will it last?

Gold finds renewed Asian bids and retests $5,230 early Wednesday after the heavy sell-off on Tuesday. The US Dollar stands tall amid escalating Middle East tensions and reduced dovish Fed expectations. Gold defends $5,000 or 50% Fibo level after facing rejection at the 78.6% Fibo resistance at $5,342 amid bullish RSI.  

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple struggle for direction as consolidation persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple prices trade with a cautious tone at the time of writing on Wednesday as upside momentum continues to fade across the broader crypto market. BTC remains within a parallel channel, ETH struggles below key resistance, while XRP remains fragile within a descending channel. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization continue to struggle to establish a directional bias amid the consolidation phase.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.