|

USD/MXN jumps to the 20.45 area as dollar soars on recession fears

  • Emerging market currencies extend weekly losses on Friday.
  • US dollar firm on risk aversion, DXY up 0.65%.
  • USD/MXN testing critical resistance that contains the 100-week SMA.

The US dollar is rising against emerging market currencies on Friday, extending weekly gains boosted by global concerns about the growth outlook and as central banks raise interest rates. The Mexican peso is among the worst performers.

The USD/MXN jumped on Friday to 20.46, reaching the highest level in two weeks. It then pulled back to the 20.30 level. High volatility is likely to remain elevated as panic continues to drive price action.

After a brief pause, USD/MXN resumed the upside on Friday, adding to weekly gains. It started to move higher from 20.05 (20-day SMA). The rally found resistance at the 20.45 strong barrier that contains the 100-week SMA. A consolidation above should point to more gains. The next strong resistance is located at 20.70.

Fear almost everywhere

In Wall Street, the main indexes are in red but off lows. Bond yields are sharply lower, reflecting risk aversion and softer expectations about monetary tightening. Economic data from the US showed a larger than expected decline in ISM Manufacturing in June that fueled recession fears.

Despite the slowdown in activity, high inflation pressures the Fed and other central banks to tighten aggressively monetary policy. Higher rates are usually negative for emerging markets.

USD/MXN weekly chart

USDMXN

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price20.3736
Today Daily Change0.2677
Today Daily Change %1.33
Today daily open20.1059
 
Trends
Daily SMA2020.0323
Daily SMA5020.0514
Daily SMA10020.19
Daily SMA20020.4264
 
Levels
Previous Daily High20.2657
Previous Daily Low20.0616
Previous Weekly High20.3786
Previous Weekly Low19.826
Previous Monthly High20.7028
Previous Monthly Low19.4709
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.1396
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.1877
Daily Pivot Point S120.0231
Daily Pivot Point S219.9403
Daily Pivot Point S319.819
Daily Pivot Point R120.2272
Daily Pivot Point R220.3485
Daily Pivot Point R320.4313

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.