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USD/MXN edges higher to near 16.70 on speculation of Fed prolonging higher cash rates

  • USD/MXN strengthens on risk-off sentiment after upbeat US inflation data.
  • The US Dollar remains firmer despite the correction in the US Treasury yields.
  • Banxico Deputy Governor Omar Mejia suggested the potential for an interest rate cut.

USD/MXN expands gains for the second consecutive day on Friday, bouncing back from the eight-month low at 16.64 reached on Thursday. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN pair attempts to extend its gains, trading around 16.70 during the European trading hours.

The upbeat US Core Producer Price Index (PPI) data for February, with a 2.0% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations of 1.9%, has strengthened the US Dollar. This in turn supports the USD/MXN pair.

The recent economic indicators pose challenges for the Federal Reserve's decision-making process regarding interest rate cuts. Traders are eagerly awaiting the preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for March on Friday to gain insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory.

Officials from the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) have underscored the importance of avoiding premature interest rate cuts. Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja has advocated for a gradual approach to adjustments, while Deputy Governor Jonathan Heath has warned against the risks associated with premature rate cuts.

However, Banxico Deputy Governor Omar Mejia hinted at the possibility of an interest rate cut in a podcast on Wednesday, arguing that it wouldn't be premature given the high level of rates maintained by the bank. The market is pricing in expectations that Banxico could cut rates as soon as the March 21 meeting.

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price16.7308
Today Daily Change0.0306
Today Daily Change %0.18
Today daily open16.7002
 
Trends
Daily SMA2016.9599
Daily SMA5017.0399
Daily SMA10017.1738
Daily SMA20017.2259
 
Levels
Previous Daily High16.7337
Previous Daily Low16.6461
Previous Weekly High17.0292
Previous Weekly Low16.7642
Previous Monthly High17.2852
Previous Monthly Low16.9953
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%16.7002
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%16.6795
Daily Pivot Point S116.6529
Daily Pivot Point S216.6057
Daily Pivot Point S316.5653
Daily Pivot Point R116.7406
Daily Pivot Point R216.7809
Daily Pivot Point R316.8282

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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