|

USD/JPY under pressure below 112 post-FOMC

The USD/JPY pair, which jumped to 112.15 with the initial knee-jerk reaction to the FOMC statement, quickly erased its gains and dropped below the 112 mark to refresh its daily low at 111.54. As of writing, the pair is trading around the 111.64 area, losing 0.22% on the day.

Following its 2-day meeting, the Federal Reserve, in line with market expectations, decided to keep interest rates unchanged at its current target range of 1.00% - 1.25%. In the press statement, the Committee reiterated that it was expecting inflation to remain somewhat below 2% in the short-term but stabilize around its 2% objective in the medium term. The statement also included identical quotes from the June meeting statement, such as "job gains have been solid, household spending and business fixed investment have continued to expand." 

Regarding the balance sheet reduction, instead of using the phrase "later this year," the Committee said that it was going to start implementing the normalization program "relatively soon," but failed to give a specific time-frame. The US Dollar Index reacted negatively to the statement and plummeted towards the mid-93s. At the moment, the index is at 93.56, losing 0.38% on the day. 

Technical outlook

111.40 (100-DMA) could be seen as the first technical support ahead of 111 (psychological level) and 110.60 (Jul. 24 low). On the upside, resistances align at 112.00 (psychological level), 112.75 (200-DMA) and 113.55 (Jul. 14 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data

The EUR/USD pair loses ground to around 1.1905, snapping the two-day winning streak during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. Markets might turn cautious ahead of the release of key US economic data, including US employment and inflation reports that were pushed back slightly due to the recently ended four-day government shutdown.

GBP/USD edges lower below 1.3700 on UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

The GBP/USD pair trades on a weaker note around 1.3685 during the European session on Tuesday. The Pound Sterling edges lower against the US Dollar amid political risk in the United Kingdom and rising expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts. 

Gold drifts lower as positive risk tone tempers safe-haven demand; downside seems limited

Gold drifts lower during the Asian session on Tuesday and snaps a two-day winning streak, though it lacks strong follow-through selling and shows some resilience below the $5,000 psychological mark amid mixed cues. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which, along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you

Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.