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USD/JPY stuck in tight daily range near 109.60 amid thin trading conditions

  • US Dollar Index continues to move sideways above 96.
  • The U.S. markets are closed due to MLK Day.
  • BoJ is scheduled to publish its monetary policy statement on Wednesday.

The USD/JPY pair is trading in an extremely tight 25 pip range on Monday as thin trading conditions don't allow the pair to make a decisive move in either direction. As of writing, the pair was trading at 109.63, losing 12 pips on the day.

Important macroeconomic data releases from China on Monday failed to make significant changes in the markets' risk perception on Monda. Although the industrial production in China expanded more than expected in 2018, the annual GDP growth rate fell to 6.4% in the fourth quarter as expected. Japan's Nikkei closed the day modestly higher and major European indices painted a mixed picture with Germany's DAX erasing 0.6% and the UK's FTSE staying flat on the day despite ongoing uncertainty surrounding Brexit talks in the UK.

The US Dollar Index, meanwhile, stays calm above the 96 mark on Monday as investors wait for the bond market to return to action on Tuesday.

In the early trading hours of the Asian session on Wednesday, the Bank of Japan will announce its policy rate, which is expected to stay unchanged at -0.1%, and publish its policy statement. Previewing the event, "Given this is a quarterly outlook meeting, it will be what the BoJ does with its forecasts and how it talks to both the domestic and international issues the economy faces. Increasing downside risks to inflation and growth present a challenge to the BOJ,” noted Westpac analysts in a recently published report.

Key technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 109.63
    Today Daily change: -0.12 pips
    Today Daily change %: -0.11%
    Today Daily Open: 109.75
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 109.25
    Daily SMA50: 111.54
    Daily SMA100: 112.06
    Daily SMA200: 111.19
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 109.9
    Previous Daily Low: 109.06
    Previous Weekly High: 109.9
    Previous Weekly Low: 107.99
    Previous Monthly High: 113.83
    Previous Monthly Low: 109.55
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 109.57
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 109.38
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 109.24
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 108.73
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 108.4
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 110.08
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 110.41
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 110.92

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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