• USD/JPY eases from intraday top of 106.16 amid mixed clues.
  • Politico’s signal that Iran is plotting to kill US Ambassador joins risk-negative news from New Zealand to weigh on market sentiment.
  • Vaccine hopes, TikTok story and Brexit confuse traders during the light-calendar morning.
  • Japan’s Industrial Production in the spotlight for now, risk factors remain as the key.

USD/JPY retraces gains to 106.13 as traders in Tokyo capitalize on the early-Monday move. The yen major marked losses during the last week but portrays sluggish moves off-late. The reason could be traced from non-uniform risk signals and a lack of major data/events.

Vaccine news confronts virus woes…

Not only AstraZeneca’s restart of the coronavirus (COVID-19) trials but news that Pfizer is also pitching for its vaccine sale before the year-end added to the market optimism during the week’s start.

Even so, New Zealand’s extension of lockdown restrictions, at least till September 21, with stricter conditions in Auckland, challenges the market’s mood. Also on the negative side could be Politico’s piece suggesting Iran’s planning to take revenge for Qassem Soleimani.

It should, additionally, be noted that the fears of a hard Brexit grow as the UK offers discounts to Japanese while talking trade, in terms of accepting stiff rules, ahead of British diplomats’ visit to Brussels.

Earlier during the day, Japanese Chief Secretary and front-runner for the country’s leadership race Yoshihide Suga said that there is no limit to the bonds a government can issue. This strengthens the odds of further easy money policy in Japan.

Talking about the data, Japan’s Reuters Tankan details suggest the Manufacturing gauge recovered from -33 to -29 in September, the best in six-months. On the other hand, the Services index also bounced off -23 to -18 during the reported period.

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures rise 0.90% while Japan’s Nikkei 225 add 0.50% by the press time. Though, the US 10-year treasury yields struggle around 0.66% as we write.

Moving on, Japan’s July month Industrial Production, expected to remain unchanged at -16.1%, can offer an immediate market reaction. However, traders may pay a little more attention to the risk news for further direction.

Technical analysis

A 30-pip area between 21-day and 50-day SMA below 106.30 keeps the pair’s short-term moves confined.

Additional important levels

Today last price 1.3178
Today Daily Change 0.0000
Today Daily Change % 0.00%
Today daily open 1.3178
Daily SMA20 1.3146
Daily SMA50 1.3317
Daily SMA100 1.3539
Daily SMA200 1.3521
Previous Daily High 1.3208
Previous Daily Low 1.3151
Previous Weekly High 1.326
Previous Weekly Low 1.3053
Previous Monthly High 1.3451
Previous Monthly Low 1.302
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3173
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3186
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.315
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3122
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3094
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3207
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3236
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3264



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