|

USD/JPY resists tracing firmer yields, DXY below 145.00 amid hawkish BOJ concerns

  • USD/JPY grinds higher around 24-year top, probes three-day uptrend.
  • BOJ Minutes highlights the need for vigilance on sharp yen moves.
  • US 10-year Treasury bond yields rose to 12-year high, DXY renewed the highest levels since May 2002.
  • No major data on calendar, Fed’s Powell may please bulls if managed to defend heavy rate hikes.

USD/JPY skates on thin ice in the last two days, taking rounds to 144.70 during early Wednesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the yen pair fails to tracks the firmer US Treasury yields and the US Dollar Index (DXY) while also paying a little heed to the risk-off mood. The reason could be linked to the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) latest monetary policy meeting and the BOJ’s Japanese Government Bond (JGB) buying activity.

That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) renews the 20-year high near 114.70 while the US 10-year Treasury yields jump to 4.0% for the first time since 2010.

Earlier in the day, BOJ released the Minute statement of the latest monetary policy meeting. As per the statement, the board members agreed that the inflationary impact of the yen's recent sharp moves must be closely scrutinised, but policymakers reiterated their resolve to keep policy loose even as the currency's rapid fall has unsettled financial markets, per Reuters.

On the other hand, the BOJ said it offered in the morning to lend 1.4628 trillion yen in Japanese government bonds (JGBs) as a secondary source of supply of some issues for settlement today under an agreement expiring on September 29.

Elsewhere, comments from the White House (WH) Economic Adviser Brian Deese and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, not to forget pessimism emanating from China and Europe, seemed to have weighed on the market sentiment. WH Economic Adviser Deese’s comments that he does not anticipate the need for the global accord to adjust currency values seemed to have pleased the US dollar bulls of late. The policymaker also stated, “I'm fundamentally optimistic about the US economy, which can emerge stronger than before the pandemic.”

On Tuesday, US Durable Goods Orders declined by 0.2% in August versus the market forecasts of -0.4% and the revised down prior reading of -0.1%. Additionally, US CB Consumer Confidence improved for the second consecutive month to 108.00 for September versus 104.5 expected and 103.20 prior.

Amid these plays, the S&P 500 Futures drop 0.50% intraday to poke the 21-month low marked the previous day.

While the risk-off mood battles the BOJ’s defense of the yen, the USD/JPY traders may closely watch Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech to overcome the immediate trading hurdle.

Technical analysis

A three-week-old descending resistance line around 145.00 is the immediate key hurdle that holds the gate for the USD/JPY pair’s run-up towards the fresh 24-year, currently around 145.90.

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price144.71
Today Daily Change-0.07
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open144.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20142.81
Daily SMA50138.4
Daily SMA100135.74
Daily SMA200127.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High144.9
Previous Daily Low144.06
Previous Weekly High145.9
Previous Weekly Low140.35
Previous Monthly High139.08
Previous Monthly Low130.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%144.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%144.38
Daily Pivot Point S1144.26
Daily Pivot Point S2143.74
Daily Pivot Point S3143.42
Daily Pivot Point R1145.11
Daily Pivot Point R2145.43
Daily Pivot Point R3145.95

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.