USD/JPY Price Analysis: Snaps three-day downtrend amid risk-on mood, bounces off 10-DMA


  • USD/JPY takes bids to intraday high, rises for the first time in four days.
  • Strong RSI conditions, short-term rising channel favor bulls.
  • Monthly support line adds to the downside filters.

USD/JPY refreshes intraday high to 105.68 in the latest run-up during early Monday. The risk barometer seems to have tracked upbeat signals from S&P 500 Futures and the US 10-year Treasury yields.

Read: S&P 500 Futures snap four-day downtrend, US 10-year Treasury yields refresh yearly top on upbeat sentiment

In doing so, the quote defies the previous three-day declines, currently up 0.21% intraday, while extending the U-turn from 10-day SMA.

Considering the RSI line being slightly distanced from the overbought region, the latest run-up has room to the north. With this, the USD/JPY bulls eye 106.00 as an immediate resistance ahead of the monthly peak surrounding 106.25.

It should, however, be noted that an ascending trend line from February 05 and the upper line of a seven-week-old rising trend channel, respectively around 106.40 and 106.55, will challenge the further upside.

Meanwhile, a downside break of 10-day SMA, at 105.28 now, needs to break below the immediate support line from late-January as well as the stated channel’s lower line, near 105.00 and 104.75 in that order, to recall the USD/JPY sellers.

Overall, the upbeat market sentiment joins the pair’s U-turn from the short-term SMA to favor the USD/JPY buyers.

USD/JPY daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 105.67
Today Daily Change 0.21
Today Daily Change % 0.20%
Today daily open 105.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 104.94
Daily SMA50 104.12
Daily SMA100 104.4
Daily SMA200 105.5
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 105.74
Previous Daily Low 105.24
Previous Weekly High 106.22
Previous Weekly Low 104.92
Previous Monthly High 104.94
Previous Monthly Low 102.59
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 105.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 105.55
Daily Pivot Point S1 105.22
Daily Pivot Point S2 104.98
Daily Pivot Point S3 104.72
Daily Pivot Point R1 105.72
Daily Pivot Point R2 105.99
Daily Pivot Point R3 106.23

 

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