USD/JPY Price Analysis: Hovers around 143.20 ahead of FOMC’s meeting

USD/JPY fluctuates around 143.00 amid a negative market sentiment, spurred by recession fears on Fed’s aggressive tightening path.
The USD/JPY daily chart portrays buyers in control, but price action remains constrained.
Short term, the USD/JPY is range-bound, trapped in the 142.60-143.60 range.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The USD/JPY seesaws around 24-year highs above the 143.00 psychological level, for the third consecutive trading session, amidst a risk-off impulse, courtesy of fears that the Fed’s aggression would likely tip the US economy into a recession. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 143.24, above its opening price by 0.24%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart keeps illustrating that buyers are in charge, albeit price action remains subdued. The daily moving averages (DMAs) reside below the exchange rate, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exited from overbought conditions, a respite for US dollar buyers that would like to re-test the USD/JPY year-to-date high at around 145.00. However, it should be noted that once 143.00 gives way, it would pave the way for a fall towards the 20-day EMA at 140.92.

Short term, the four-hour scale depicts the USD/JPY sideways, trapped in the 142.50-143.60 range. Oscillators led by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is almost flat, hoovering around the 50-midline, displaying that neither buyers nor sellers are committed to opening fresh bets against the rise/fall of the major.

On the upside, the USD/JPY first resistance would be 144.00, ahead of the YTD high at around 144.99. on the flip side, the USD/JPY first support would be the daily pivot at 143.15, followed by the psychological 143.00, ahead of the S1 pivot point at 142.61.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	143.24
Today Daily Change	0.34
Today Daily Change %	0.24
Today daily open	142.94

Trends
Daily SMA20	140.65
Daily SMA50	137.59
Daily SMA100	134.79
Daily SMA200	126.47

Levels
Previous Daily High	143.7
Previous Daily Low	142.83
Previous Weekly High	144.96
Previous Weekly Low	141.66
Previous Monthly High	139.08
Previous Monthly Low	130.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	143.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	143.36
Daily Pivot Point S1	142.61
Daily Pivot Point S2	142.29
Daily Pivot Point S3	141.75
Daily Pivot Point R1	143.48
Daily Pivot Point R2	144.02
Daily Pivot Point R3	144.34

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

GBP/USD slips toward 1.3350 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD erases recovery gains and slips toward 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, tempering the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. Traders also assess the ongoing Mideast tensions amid a pause in the US Dollar uptrend.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1400 amid US Dollar retreat

EUR/USD holds positive ground above 1.1400 in European trading on Wednesday, helped by hawkish ECB expectations and a broad US Dollar retreat. However, persisting Middle East tensions and surging Oil prices keep the pair's upside elusive.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?

The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.