|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Fades bounce off key support zone surrounding 142.00 as US NFP looms

  • USD/JPY extends the previous day’s pullback from one-month high as bears attack multi-day-old horizontal support.
  • Bearish MACD signals, sustained trading below short-term key resistance line keeps Yen pair sellers hopeful.
  • 200-SMA, 140.00 act as additional downside filters before three-week-long support line prod bears.
  • US employment numbers need strong numbers to defy latest pullback moves.

USD/JPY holds lower grounds near 142.50, clings to mild losses amid early Friday morning in Europe after reversing from the highest level in a month the previous day.

The Yen pair’s latest pullback could be linked to the market’s positioning for the US employment report for June, as well as a retreat of the US Treasury bond yields from a multi-day high marked the previous day.

Furthermore, bearish MACD signals and the Yen pair’s clear observance of the descending resistance line from June 30, at 143.40 by the press time, also keep the USD/JPY bears hopeful.

However, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since June 18, around 142.00, quickly followed by the 200-SMA level of 141.85, restricts the Yen pair’s further downside.

In a case where the USD/JPY pair remains bearish past 141.85, a quick fall toward the 140.00 round figure can be expected while an ascending support line from July 14, close to 139.80, might challenge the sellers afterward.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY recovery remains elusive below the five-week-old descending resistance line of near 143.40.

Following that, a 1.5-month-long horizontal resistance area of around 143.90–144.00 will act as the final defense of the USD/JPY bears before challenging the yearly top marked in June around 145.00.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price142.48
Today Daily Change-0.11
Today Daily Change %-0.08%
Today daily open142.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.65
Daily SMA50141.26
Daily SMA100137.78
Daily SMA200136.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High143.89
Previous Daily Low142.06
Previous Weekly High141.82
Previous Weekly Low138.07
Previous Monthly High144.91
Previous Monthly Low137.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%143.19
Daily Pivot Point S1141.81
Daily Pivot Point S2141.02
Daily Pivot Point S3139.98
Daily Pivot Point R1143.64
Daily Pivot Point R2144.68
Daily Pivot Point R3145.46

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.