|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Expects volatility contraction amid Ascending Triangle formation

  • A recovery in investors’ risk appetite has led to a correction in USD/JPY.
  • The volatility is contracting amid an Ascending Triangle formation.
  • The 21-EMA is continuously providing support to the US Dollar.

The USD/JPY pair has corrected gradually to near 130.15 after printing a fresh three-day high at 130.89 on Monday. The asset has corrected due to a recovery in investors' risk-taking capacity. The risk-appetite theme has gained traction as the S&P500 futures have recovered losses recorded in early Asia. The major has remained volatile amid chatters over Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s successor.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has slipped to near 101.50 after surrendering the critical support of 101.60. Losing traction for safe-haven assets has faded the risk aversion theme.

USD/JPY is demonstrating signs of volatility contraction amid the formation of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern on an hourly scale. The major is near the upward-sloping trendline of the chart pattern plotted from January 19 low at 127.76. While the horizontal resistance is placed from January 18 high around 131.58.

The 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.35 is providing support to the US Dollar.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into the 40.00-60.00 range, portraying a loss in the upside momentum.

Should the asset break below Monday’s low around 129.00, Japanese Yen bulls will drag the asset towards January 19 low at 127.76 followed by January 16 low at 127.22.

On the contrary, a breakout of the chart pattern after exploding January 18 high around 131.58 will drive the asset towards January 9 high at 132.65. A break above the latter will expose the asset for more upside towards January 5 high around 134.00.

USD/JPY hourly chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price130.38
Today Daily Change-0.31
Today Daily Change %-0.24
Today daily open130.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA20131.01
Daily SMA50134.62
Daily SMA100139.99
Daily SMA200136.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High130.89
Previous Daily Low129.04
Previous Weekly High131.58
Previous Weekly Low127.22
Previous Monthly High138.18
Previous Monthly Low130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%130.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%129.75
Daily Pivot Point S1129.53
Daily Pivot Point S2128.36
Daily Pivot Point S3127.68
Daily Pivot Point R1131.37
Daily Pivot Point R2132.06
Daily Pivot Point R3133.22

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.