USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls move in and target 133.00 ahead of the 200-DMA

USD/JPY gapped up since the Asian session by about 30 pips, reaching a daily high of 132.90.
USD/JPY Price Analysis: Neutral biased, but tilted upwards, with bulls eyeing 133.00.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The USD/JPY gapped toward new 5-week highs shy of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) by just two pips at 132.89 and remained nearby, about to challenge the 133.00 psychological price level. The last US jobs report crushed estimates, bolstering the US Dollar (USD) on speculations for further Federal Reserve’s (Fed) aggression. Therefore, the USD/JPY rallied 3.45% since Friday and exchanged hands at 132.79 after hitting a low of 131.51.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY shifted neutral biased after gapping up from around 131.20 to current exchange rates. On its way up, the major reclaimed the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.53, and it’s poised to crack the 50-day EMA at 132.91, ahead of the 133.00 figure.

With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC), oscillators shifted bullish, opening the door for further upside. However, it should be said that the USD/JPY would face the trend-setter 200-day EMA at 133.88, which, once cleared, would pave the way to test the 100-day EMA above the 135.00 figure.

As an alternate scenario, the USD/JPY first support would be 132.00. A breach of the latter and the USD/JPY could test the day’s low at 131.51, followed by last Friday’s high at 131.20. Once those demand zones are broken, it would expose the 20-day EMA at 130.29.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	132.88
Today Daily Change	1.73
Today Daily Change %	1.32
Today daily open	131.15

Trends
Daily SMA20	129.86
Daily SMA50	132.81
Daily SMA100	138.79
Daily SMA200	136.79

Levels
Previous Daily High	131.2
Previous Daily Low	128.33
Previous Weekly High	131.2
Previous Weekly Low	128.08
Previous Monthly High	134.78
Previous Monthly Low	127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	130.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	129.42
Daily Pivot Point S1	129.25
Daily Pivot Point S2	127.35
Daily Pivot Point S3	126.38
Daily Pivot Point R1	132.12
Daily Pivot Point R2	133.09
Daily Pivot Point R3	134.99

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold extends rally as Middle East concerns intensify

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

Australia unemployment rate set to steady at 4.4% in June, signaling strong job market

Australia will publish the June monthly employment report on Thursday at 01:30 GMT, and market participants expect a modest increase in job creation in the land Down Under. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 15K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.4%, unchanged from May.

US – Fed preview: A divided hold

The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?

The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.