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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears smash weekly support line to aim for further downside below 134.00

  • USD/JPY takes offers to refresh intraday low, snaps six-day uptrend.
  • Failure to stay beyond 200-HMA joins RSI retreat to break the key support line from December 20.
  • 100-HMA could probe the bears before directing them to the monthly low.
  • Buyers need validation from the recent swing high surrounding 134.50 to retake control.

USD/JPY stands on the slippery ground near 133.65 as it renews its intraday low during the first negative daily performance in seven.

In doing so, the Yen pair breaks the seven-day-old ascending trend line to welcome the bears.

It should be noted that the multiple failures to stay beyond the 200-HMA join the RSI (14) pullback from the overbought territory to allow the USD/JPY pair to remain on the bear’s radar.

However, the 100-HMA support, around 133.00 by the press time, challenges the USD/JPY pair’s immediate downside, a break of which could quickly drag the quote towards the multi-month low marked earlier in December around 130.60-55.

In a case where the USD/JPY pair remains weak past 130.55, the August monthly low near 130.40 and the 130.00 round figure could probe the quote’s further downside.

Alternatively, a convergence of the 200-HMA and the support-turned-resistance line, around 133.95, quickly followed by the 134.00 round figure, guards the USD/JPY pair’s immediate upside.

Following that, the recent top surrounding 134.50 to act as the last defense of USD/JPY bears.

USD/JPY: Hourly chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price133.64
Today Daily Change-0.85
Today Daily Change %-0.63%
Today daily open134.49
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.18
Daily SMA50140.23
Daily SMA100141.12
Daily SMA200136.13
 
Levels
Previous Daily High134.5
Previous Daily Low133.36
Previous Weekly High137.48
Previous Weekly Low130.57
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%134.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%133.79
Daily Pivot Point S1133.73
Daily Pivot Point S2132.98
Daily Pivot Point S3132.59
Daily Pivot Point R1134.87
Daily Pivot Point R2135.26
Daily Pivot Point R3136.01

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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