|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears flex muscles with eyes on 130.60

  • USD/JPY retreats from one-week high to snap three-day uptrend.
  • Downside break of weekly support line adds strength to bearish bias.
  • 100, 200 EMAs add to the upside filters.

USD/JPY remains depressed around 132.90 as it prints the first daily loss in four during early Tuesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the downside break of a one-wee-old ascending trend line, as well as a U-turn from the 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

The pullback move also takes clues from the RSI (14) retreat, as well as an absence of the oversold RSI line.

That said, the USD/JPY price aim for the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of December 15-20 downside, near 132.30.

Following that, an upward-sloping support line from the last Wednesday, near the 132.00 round figure could test the USD/JPY bears before directing them to the recently flashed multi-month low near 130.60.

In a case where the USD/JPY pair drops below 130.60, the August 2022 low near 130.40 and the 130.00 psychological magnet could act as the last defense of the buyers.

Alternatively, the support-turned-resistance line and the 100-EMA, respectively around 132.95 and 133.05, could restrict immediate USD/JPY recovery before highlighting the 200-EMA level of 134.00.

Should the USD/JPY bulls keep the reins past 134.00, the December 19 swing low near 135.80 will gain the market’s attention.

It should be noted that the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, respectively near 134.35 and 135.25, could probe the USD/JPY bulls during the expected rise.

USD/JPY: Hourly chart

Trend: Further downside expected

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price132.85
Today Daily Change-0.07
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open132.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.62
Daily SMA50140.86
Daily SMA100141.12
Daily SMA200136
 
Levels
Previous Daily High132.92
Previous Daily Low132.92
Previous Weekly High137.48
Previous Weekly Low130.57
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%132.92
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%132.92
Daily Pivot Point S1132.92
Daily Pivot Point S2132.92
Daily Pivot Point S3132.92
Daily Pivot Point R1132.92
Daily Pivot Point R2132.92
Daily Pivot Point R3132.92

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold buying remains unabated; fresh all-time peak and counting

Gold builds on the previous day's blowout rally through the $4,400 mark and continues scaling new record highs through the Asian session on Tuesday. Bets for more interest rate cuts by the US Fed, renewed US Dollar selling bias, and rising geopolitical uncertainties turn out to be key factors driving flows towards the bullion. Traders now look to the delayed release of the revised US Q3 GDP print and US Durable Goods Orders for a fresh impetus.

ETHZilla sells over 24,000 ETH, community reacts to shift away from DAT strategy

Peter Thiel-backed ETHZilla announced it sold 24,291 ETH for ~$74.5 million to redeem outstanding senior secured convertible notes. "We plan to use all, or a significant portion, of the proceeds to fund the redemption," ETHZilla noted in a Monday X post.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.