|

USD/JPY: Potential to skyrocket as high as 117.20 – Credit Suisse

USD/JPY continues to surge higher. Economists at Credit Suisse stay biased higher with resistance seen at 111.66, then 112.23/40. An eventual break above here would introduce scope for 117.20, the long-term downtrend from April 1990.

Support moves higher to 110.52

“With US yields having completed near-term bases and expected to rise further, we continue to look for a test on long-term resistance, starting at the 111.66 June YTD high and stretching up to the 2019 and 2020 highs at 112.40 and 112.23 respectively. 

“Whilst the 112.23/40 resistance should be respected, an eventual break would see an important and large base complete to signal a more sustained change of trend higher. We would expect this to provide the platform for a move to the 2018 highs at 114.25/55 initially, with scope for 117.20 in due course, the long-term downtrend from April 1990.”

“Support moves to 110.93 initially, then 110.78, with 110.52 ideally holding to keep the immediate risk higher. Below can see a pullback towards 110.16/08, but with fresh buyers expected here.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.