|

USD/JPY oversteps 143.00, more upside seems favored on hawkish Fed bets

  • USD/JPY has crossed 143.00 as odds of a bumper rate hike by the Fed have advanced.
  • The ongoing price pressures have highly deviated from the desired inflation rate of 2%.
  • An expectation of intervention in the Fx market by Japan seems unable to support the depreciating yen.

The USD/JPY pair has advanced sharply after a little shaky opening and is hovering around 143.00 in the Asian session. The asset is expected to advance further after slaughtering the immediate hurdle of 143.00 as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is preparing to scale up its interest rates further this year. On a broader note, the major has attempted a firm rebound after the conclusion of retracement from the previous week’s high around 145.00.

There is no denying the fact that the US economy has entered into a decline phase of US inflation as back-to-back declines in headline US Consumer Price Index (CPI) warrant exhaustion signals. Falling gasoline prices in the US and jaw-dropping interest rates have resulted in a decline in inflation forecasts. The plain-vanilla CPI that does inculcate food and energy prices is seen at 8.1%, lower than the prior release of 8.5%. A decline in the inflation rate is music to the ears but the Fed will continue its hawkish stance further.

The deviation between desired inflation rate, which is 2% and ongoing inflationary pressures is quite huge. Therefore, the Fed will continue its hawkish guidance and will observe the inflation rate for several months to shift its stance. In September’s monetary policy meeting, the Fed is expected to announce a third consecutive 75 basis points (bps) interest rate hike.

On the Tokyo front, investors are awaiting more build-up on news of Japan’s intervening in the Fx market to support yen. Japan's top currency diplomat Kanda said on Thursday that recent yen falls cannot be justified based on fundamentals, as reported by Reuters.

He further added that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to take necessary action to support the yen bulls. Also, Tokyo is communicating with other countries on recent Fx moves. The meeting was attended by officials from Japan’s Ministry of Finance, the Financial Institutions Agency, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price143.19
Today Daily Change0.72
Today Daily Change %0.51
Today daily open142.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA20138.58
Daily SMA50136.84
Daily SMA100134.06
Daily SMA200125.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High144.13
Previous Daily Low141.5
Previous Weekly High144.99
Previous Weekly Low140.12
Previous Monthly High139.08
Previous Monthly Low130.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.51
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%143.13
Daily Pivot Point S1141.27
Daily Pivot Point S2140.07
Daily Pivot Point S3138.64
Daily Pivot Point R1143.9
Daily Pivot Point R2145.33
Daily Pivot Point R3146.53

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

RBNZ set to pause interest-rate easing cycle as new Governor Breman faces firm inflation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains on track to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% after concluding its first monetary policy meeting of this year on Wednesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.