|

USD/JPY: Near term upside risk – OCBC

Ishiba will remain as PM after receiving support from parliament after 2 rounds of voting in a special parliamentary session yesterday. USD/JPY drifted higher; last at 153.83 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Daily momentum is mild bearish

“Ishiba will lead the minority government with LDP-Komeito coalition, alongside the support from Democratic Party for the People (DPP) on a confidence and supply agreement (while staying out of the coalition).”

“DPP wants to raise the income ceiling for tax payments and had previously critic the BoJ for raising rates. Markets may also ‘speculate’ that BoJ may not hike this year, further adding to JPY weakness. USDJPY inched higher this morning.”

“Daily momentum is mild bearish, but RSI rose. Near term risks skewed to the upside. Resistance at 154.80 (recent high) and 156.50 (76.4% fibo). Support at 153.30 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jul high to Sep low), 151.70 levels (21, 200 DMAs), 150.70 (50% fibo).”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and approaches 1.1800. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 reaffirms the bullish bias.

GBP/USD climbs to 1.3500 area, renews ten-week high

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October near 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the holidays, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the broad-based US Dollar (USD) weakness ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.