|

USD/JPY: Likely to test 153.00 before a sizeable pullback – UOB Group

There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to test 153.00 again before a more sustained and sizeable pullback can be expected. In the longer run, further USD strength is likely; the level to watch is 153.80, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Further USD strength is likely

24-HOUR VIEW: "USD surged two days ago. Yesterday, when USD was at 152.30, we indicated that 'while impulsive momentum is likely to outweigh the deeply overbought conditions, it remains to be seen if USD can break above 153.00 today.' USD subsequently rose to a high of 152.99 and then pulled back to close higher for the fifth straight day (152.68, +0.51%). While conditions remain deeply overbought, there is a chance for USD to test 153.00 again before a more sustained and sizeable pullback can be expected. Support is at 152.00, followed by 151.50."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We turned positive on USD at the start of the week. Yesterday (07 Oct, spot at 150.35), we highlighted that 'further USD strength is likely, and the level to watch is 153.80.' We will continue to hold the same view as long as the ‘strong support’ at 150.90 (level was at 150.50 yesterday) holds."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains slightly bid near 1.3300

GBP/USD now advances marginally and manages to dispute the 1.3300 region on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable regains some balance on the back of the lacklustre performance of the Greenback, all preceding the Fed’s meeting on Wednesday and the BoE’s gathering on Thursday.

EUR/USD advances as US Dollar declines ahead of Fed policy decision

EUR/USD holds ground for the second successive day, trading around 1.1390 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The US Dollar struggles against the Euro as investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, where the central bank is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.

Gold looks to the Fed for the next big move

Gold is attempting a tepid bounce from six-day lows near $4,000 in Wednesday’s Asian trades, awaiting the US Federal Reserve monetary policy outcome to determine the next major move.

Bitcoin slips below support, Ethereum and XRP flash bearish signals

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday after a mild correction earlier this week. BTC slips below a key support zone, and ETH is testing a key resistance zone. Meanwhile, XRP is drifting toward the psychologically important $1.00 support level.

WTI rebounds from two-week low, well bid around mid-$81.00s amid Iran risks

West Texas Intermediate – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – gains strong positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak to an over two-week low touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades around mid-$81.00s, up nearly 4% for the day, amid the risk of resumption of US-Iran hostilities.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.