|

USD/JPY: Likely to test 153.00 before a sizeable pullback – UOB Group

There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to test 153.00 again before a more sustained and sizeable pullback can be expected. In the longer run, further USD strength is likely; the level to watch is 153.80, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Further USD strength is likely

24-HOUR VIEW: "USD surged two days ago. Yesterday, when USD was at 152.30, we indicated that 'while impulsive momentum is likely to outweigh the deeply overbought conditions, it remains to be seen if USD can break above 153.00 today.' USD subsequently rose to a high of 152.99 and then pulled back to close higher for the fifth straight day (152.68, +0.51%). While conditions remain deeply overbought, there is a chance for USD to test 153.00 again before a more sustained and sizeable pullback can be expected. Support is at 152.00, followed by 151.50."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We turned positive on USD at the start of the week. Yesterday (07 Oct, spot at 150.35), we highlighted that 'further USD strength is likely, and the level to watch is 153.80.' We will continue to hold the same view as long as the ‘strong support’ at 150.90 (level was at 150.50 yesterday) holds."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.