|

USD/JPY holds above 139.00, heads for weekly loss

  • Japanese yen weakens amid higher government bond yields.
  • US Dollar Index rises 0.55% on a quiet low-volume session.
  • USD/JPY heads for weekly loss despite Friday’s gains.

The rally of USD/JPY was capped by the 139.50/60 area. Near the end of the week, the pair holds firm above 139.00 supported by rising sovereign bond yields as Wall Street posts gains.

Yen down as yields move up

The Japanese yen fell across the board on Friday, weakened by rising bond yields. The US 10-year bond yield rose to 3.75%, a two-day high while the German 10-year climbed to 1.98%. In Wall Street, the Dow Jones was up by 0.46% and the Nasdaq was falling by 0.29% on a shortened session.

The US Dollar Index was up 0.55% on Friday, but still headed toward the lowest weekly close since mid-August affected by the less hawkish FOMC minutes. Next week, attention will be on the Non-farm payrolls report due on Friday.

Firm below the weekly 20-SMA

The USD/JPY is about to post a weekly loss of a little more than one hundred pips. During the week it traded as high as 142.24, but then pulled back under the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) that stands at 140.90.

The pair continues to move around 140.00, away from the multi-decade high it hit on October. The declines so far have been contained above 137.50. A daily close below 138.50 would increase the bearish pressure.

USD/JPY weekly chart

USDJPY

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price139.34
Today Daily Change0.82
Today Daily Change %0.59
Today daily open138.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20143.29
Daily SMA50144.84
Daily SMA100141.14
Daily SMA200133.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High139.65
Previous Daily Low138.05
Previous Weekly High140.8
Previous Weekly Low137.67
Previous Monthly High151.94
Previous Monthly Low143.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%138.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%139.04
Daily Pivot Point S1137.83
Daily Pivot Point S2137.13
Daily Pivot Point S3136.22
Daily Pivot Point R1139.43
Daily Pivot Point R2140.35
Daily Pivot Point R3141.04

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).