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USD/JPY hangs near multi-week lows, around 109.25 region

  • USD/JPY remained under some selling pressure for the third consecutive day on Thursday.
  • COVID-19 woes, weaker USD, a downtick in the US bond yields contributed to the decline.
  • Investors now look forward to Thursday’s US macro releases for some meaningful impetus.

The USD/JPY pair edged lower through the Asian session and was last seen trading near daily lows, around the 109.25-20 region.

The pair struggled to capitalize on the previous day's modest bounce from the 109.10 area, or near one-month lows, instead met with some fresh supply on Thursday. This marked the third successive day of a negative move and was sponsored by a combination of factors.

The softer US CPI report raised uncertainty over the likely timing of the Fed's tapering plan and kept the US dollar bulls on the defensive through the early part of the trading action. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that acted as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair.

On the other hand, worries about the fast-spreading Delta variant and a global economic slowdown benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen. This, along with a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields, inspired bearish traders and exerted pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

Meanwhile, the overnight decline confirmed a near-term bearish break below support marked by the lower boundary of a multi-week-old trading range, near the 109.50-45 region. Hence, the downfall could further be attributed to some follow-through technical selling.

That said, investors still seem convinced that the Fed would begin rolling back its massive pandemic-era stimulus later this year. This should hold traders from placing aggressive bearish bets ahead of the FOMC meeting on September 20-21 and help limit any further losses.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the releases of monthly Retail Sales figures, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims. Apart from this, the US bond yields, the USD price dynamics and the broader market risk sentiment might produce some trading opportunities around the USD/JPY pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.25
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open109.37
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.87
Daily SMA50109.91
Daily SMA100109.84
Daily SMA200108.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.74
Previous Daily Low109.11
Previous Weekly High110.45
Previous Weekly Low109.62
Previous Monthly High110.8
Previous Monthly Low108.72
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.5
Daily Pivot Point S1109.07
Daily Pivot Point S2108.78
Daily Pivot Point S3108.44
Daily Pivot Point R1109.7
Daily Pivot Point R2110.04
Daily Pivot Point R3110.33

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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